Wheat Crop Failures Could Be Total

If there ever was headline that should make you stand up and take notice, this is certainly one of them.

Wheat Crop Failures Could Be Total

On top of record-breaking rice prices and corn through the roof on ethanol demand, wheat is now rusting in the fields across Africa.

Officials fear near total crop losses, and the fungus, known as Ug99, is spreading.

Wheat prices have been soaring this week on top of already high prices, and futures contracts spiked, too, on panic buying.

Experts fear the cost of bread could soon follow the path of rice, the price of which has triggered riots in some countries and prompted countries to cut off exports.

David Kotok, chairman and chief investment officer of Cumberland Advisors, said the deadly fungus, Puccinia graminis, is now spreading through some areas of the globe where “crop losses are expected to reach 100 percent.”

Now I really don’t expect anybody to pay attention to this, but certainly a few will. And it will “break the bank”, I guarantee it. We will certainly see more of this, far sooner then anyone feared: Food Riots Erupte Worldwide

My ship times are 12 weeks a climbing. Polyanna’s (as usual) have proven to be dead wrong. Not to worry, they’ll soon be dead too.

A worldwide wheat failure has unbelievably serious consequences. Production and harvest shortfalls and the economic doom are bad enough, but a total crop loss?

Time to buck up. Going to be hard, hard sailing ahead.  I told you nobody was ordering enough food. Prices are going to go into the stratosphere while people are dying.


admin at survivalacres dot com

15 thoughts on “Wheat Crop Failures Could Be Total

  • April 25, 2008 at 7:06 pm
    I think it’s only in the areas infected with Ug99. So far that’s much of Africa, Egypt, Turkey, Iran, possibly Pakistan. From Pakistan, it’s expected to spread to India, and from India to China, and from China it has a possibility of spreading across the Pacific to the US.

    But it’s expected to take a few years to make that journey. Scientists are hoping that’s enough time to come up with a remedy.

    I’m sure it’ll be disaster for those nations, but Ug99 isn’t causing a worldwide wheat failure… at least not yet.

  • April 25, 2008 at 7:17 pm
    Adam, at this point it could take out 25% of the world crop. That’s pretty significant in itself.
  • April 25, 2008 at 7:30 pm

    The concern is global spread. And when you start considering “spare capacity” or “spare production” you quickly realize that we humans cannot afford ANYTHING to go wrong.

    There is this little tidbit from the article:

    Scientists fear that the spores could spread on the wind and reach the U.S. and Canada or Europe.

  • April 25, 2008 at 7:32 pm
    People had better be learning about alternatives to nice puffed up wheat bread and think about flatbreads made of barley, corn, oats, chestnut flour, etc., etc.

    Even if Ug99 were to be stopped in its tracks, those storage bins are going to eventually be empty and then what? Who can successfully grow, harvest, thresh, winnow, and grind wheat manually these days? I’ve tried for years and believe me, that “easy to thresh” supposedly hulless wheat is anything but. I’ve tried several varieties and none is easy to hand-thresh. Think flat breads in other grains. A piece of cake compared to wheat-work.

  • April 25, 2008 at 7:46 pm
    It seems to me that no matter how much food one has stocked up it will never be enough. Unless you are “lucky” enough to die before your food runs out.
    I do believe a minimum of one year per person is a prudent minimum ( while things unravel) but beyond that IMO you had better know how to grow, harvest, kill, prepare and preserve your own.
    What if you have to suddenly relocate and can only take what you can carry. You can carry knowledge and skills but not much more than –say- fifty pounds of goods and probably less than half of that will be food.
    I keep sprouting seeds in my bugout vest. Seeds to food in 3 to 7 days and you can plant these same seeds when you land somewhere and grow the full plant.
    I have chosen my evac sites one and two and will begin planting Amaranth and Quinoa in those locations when the weather is a little better. (Snow tomorrow and Sunday). I can tend it unobtrusively and 99% of Americans won’t even know that it is food if they stumble upon it. Unlikely anyone will be that far out in the wilderness anyway. This is also where some of my storable foods will be buried and clothes and extra weapons etc. idea being I can split with nothing and get there within a day and be set up.
    If you can’t tell i don’t believe staying put for the duration is feasible.
    RE: Adam’s post. It will be a disaster for everyone who eats wheat except those elites who can pay up for whatever they want.
    My former brand of bread just went up to 4.19 a loaf. I refuse to buy that wonder bread type shit, so thus endeth my purchasing bread. It is time to start breaking into the bags of wheat flour and baking my own.
    I have concluded that when it is gone then wheat will no longer be in my diet; probably for the rest of my life.
    Others will begin buying something else to take the place of bread causing shortages of other foods. I bet beans will be the next hot topic.
    Thanks Admin for all the warnings. Good luck to all. TAO
  • April 25, 2008 at 9:14 pm
    Don’t get me wrong — I’m not trying to say it’ll be harmless. 🙂 Just that it doesn’t mean total worldwide crop loss this year.

    I think Lynda’s posting is rather interesting, though. I was reading about how wheat was harvested in the “old days” (circa 1940, really not that old), and it did seem like hard work, even with all the animals and special tools they had. Rice seems much easier, needing only one special tool, a kind of many-toothed fork to remove the grains from the plant — the rest can be done with a pole, bottle, and sieve — but of course it’s not much good for bread.

    Kinda sucks because I’m a serious baker, was hoping to trade my bread-baking skills, and I love leavened bread… 😛

  • April 25, 2008 at 11:27 pm
    “It seems to me that no matter how much food one has stocked up it will never be enough. Unless you are “lucky” enough to die before your food runs out.”

    300# wheat X 30 year = 9000#
    ($3500-4500 at todays prices)
    Seems doable, if you ditch the SUV and big screen wonder box. However, no man is an island, so, multiply that by 10 or 20, cause you’ll need help defending your 9000#. Yeah, we’re screwed in the long-run, no doubt about it.

  • April 26, 2008 at 6:15 am
    Well, for the desperate poor in the world that can’t afford land, and are slaves working for pennies, yes, no wheat could kill them. But for those that have access to land, like here, even if you have to go out on federal land and plant potatoes, we will live. Wheat is only one food product that could die off temporarily–most likely because of a disease made in an American lab. We have lots of choices.
  • April 26, 2008 at 8:04 am
    So, it has begun. We talk about the wheat harvest, or lack there of, and throw out all these numbers, assuming that the powers that be and the media are being truthful in their reporting. The chances that our govt. or the media as being truthful are IMO nonexistent. It has been my experience that they always under-report, so the chances that the wheat problem (stem rust, etc.) is much worse then we have been led to believe are high. I’m just hoping that the food I ordered in January gets here soon, as I fear that very soon, no orders will get through at all. Time to stock up on more ammo. I’ve managed to put together a great selection of books on different ways of preserving and storing foods as well as all my survival books and even the anarchists cook book so I am as ready as I can be. Today the judge acquitted the 3 detectives that shot that guy on his wedding day 50 times, and said they did nothing wrong. That’s just so wrong. “It” has truly begun. Keep your powder dry and your gardens hidden. And remember, “Don’t worry, be happy”.
  • April 26, 2008 at 1:28 pm
    Some farmers in Ireland have been planting wehat believing it is, and I quote, “the new gold”. However, not all those empty fields are being earmarked for wheat. Too many farmers are leaving them empty because the EU pays them too well to do just that. The last thing the EU has ever wanted is cheap food for its citizens.
  • April 26, 2008 at 6:38 pm
    Hoping that the food ordered in January gets here soon, and fearing that no orders will get through is realistic. I’m wondering how soon it will be before food delivery trucks will be targeted for hijacking. It’s one of those fears I have about our food co-op order which must travel hundreds of miles over interstate highways. We are all so vulnerable.
  • April 27, 2008 at 6:52 am
    The whole Ug99 thing smacks of weaponized biological material. My gut tells me this is a joint effort by a national government (US) and a corporation (Monsanto or similar) to reduce world population and create a market for a product (ie Ug99 resistant seed).

    Fortunately for those of us in temperate North America, potatoes, beans and cabbages grow just fine and produce a highly nutritious food product that is comparable if not superior in many ways to grains; but I’ll miss wheat too if it goes the way of the dodo bird.

  • April 27, 2008 at 11:33 am
    Article in today’s Washington Post, part 1 of a series on ‘the new politics of hunger”

    Now, I’ve been talking about upcoming ‘peak everything’ to my husband for years now. He reads this, he is beginning to become a believer. Not that I’m about to tell him how much what, corn, and rice we now have stored, mind you. But at least he listened as I explained some of what they didn’t cover, like peak oil, peak potash, etc. I chose to not get into Monsanto and the politics of it all yet.

    He’s not even blinking as I dry more carrots today, not saying ‘that we can buy them all the time in the store’.

    It’s a step. Now, to get him to leave the suburbs …


  • April 27, 2008 at 6:57 pm
    Like AllMightyDollar, I’ve been wondering about the origin of this Ug99 and thinking Monsanto probably already has developed the Ug99Resistant Wheat just ready to market.

    A lot of us have news for them. We’ll just stop eating wheat rather than eat mutant food.

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