Found this over on the fall of civilization, a former KGB Russian analyst is predicting the fall of the United States and the break up of the country into six regions. We’ll lose Alaska according to Panarin.
Mr. Panarin posits, in brief, that mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation will trigger a civil war next fall and the collapse of the dollar. Around the end of June 2010, or early July, he says, the U.S. will break into six pieces — with Alaska reverting to Russian control.
This fits pretty close to my own forecast. I don’t see Americans revolting until they’ve suffered quite a bit more, we’re much too fat and comfortable still to rebel.
Americans hope President-elect Barack Obama “can work miracles,” he wrote. “But when spring comes, it will be clear that there are no miracles.
I don’t expect any miracles at all. From anybody.
The prediction looks like this:
Now let me tell you why I don’t buy this.
a) The economic crisis is world-wide. China will have too many internal problems to deal with an attempted takeover of the West Coast.
b) Canada and the United States and Mexico will undoubtedly form the North American Union, but there is zero possibility of the central States being “under Canadian influence”.
c) The Southern States will not fall to Japan (or China) either (or Mexico). Panarin’s Prediction (has a nice ring to it, don’t you think?) is basically ridiculous. Economic collapse happens to us ALL and will create huge problems worldwide.
d) Atlantic America will not fall to the European Union either for the same reasons.
However, the breakup of the U.S. remains possible sometime into the future, but it definitely won’t be divided up among the so-called “victors” like a pig at a luau. If and when it breaks up, it will be isolated from the world community and almost entirely from it’s immediate neighbors (Canada and Mexico).
Panarins Prediction regarding a civil uprising is possible (and overdue). My best guess is it WILL happen, the military movements and preparations for martial law are very real and happening now. The end result will be the same, we’re going to fight back. This will precipitate any breakup of the United States.
In other forecasts of mine (and others), bioregional zones will also be in our future, which could easily lead to a breakup of the United States. In other words, Panarins Prediction is like many other so-called ‘assessments’ by experts out there, a bit of truth stretched around some unbelievable lies.
The issues of climate change, resource depletion, energy shortages, food shortages and martial law / civil uprising do not “permit” alien states seizing the dissolution of the United States. It is possible that some sort of governance / political control or influence could be exerted, but that’s all. And maybe that is all Panarin is predicting, I don’t really know.
But failing to account for the rather significant issues of a changing planet and ever-dwindling resources is often why I don’t buy into so many ‘scenarios’ because they are simply missing some really big parts of the puzzle.
Anything remains possible, including an alien invasion from Alpha Centauri. But I’m sure not banking on it. Much more worrisome to me is global population reduction by humans (biochemical and biological attacks), internal strife and implosion (of which preparations for martial law are a part of), global food shortages (it’s getting very bad in Zimbabwe now), the ever growing energy crisis (with no solution in sight), and the never ending campaigns (in all their forms) to makes slaves out of humankind.
Worth pondering is why the Panarin Prediction is even being given “air time”. I don’t know the answer to that yet.