Humans Are Wreaking The Planet

More bad environmental news: Global cactus traffickers are cleaning out the deserts

I wasn’t even aware that this was a “thing”, but this makes profits for the traffickers, so yeah, it’s very prevalent as it turns out. If humans can exploit it, they’ll traffic in it.

You can find out a lot more here: Illegal wildlife trade and the persistence of “plant blindness”

The Arctic Climate Change Update 2021 Report is out and as expected and predicted (here) it’s worse then ever. The Arctic is heating up 3 times faster then the rest of the planet and is 3 .1°C degrees higher already. “Key indicators such as temperature, precipitation, snow cover, sea ice thickness and extent, and permafrost thaw show rapid and widespread changes” with extreme events including ice loss, melt events and wildfires.

Based on modeling: “The newest generation of coupled global climate model projections (CMIP6) show that annual mean surface air temperatures in the Arctic will rise to 3.3–10°C above the 1985–2014 average by 2100, depending on the course of future emissions. Under most emission scenarios, the vast majority of CMIP6 models project the fi rst instance of a largely sea-ice-free Arctic in September occurring before 2050. The probability of an ice-free Arctic summer is 10 times greater under a 2°C global warming scenario compared with a 1.5°C scenario.

Rainfall is increasing, permafrost is warming and snow cover is rapidly declining. They didn’t mention C02 levels rising, but it’s there – you can’t lose the permafrost without an increase in C02 (along with methane). Dangerous and deadly changes occurring, irreversible on human time-scales, leading to an extinction-level event.

Meanwhile, utterly stupid shit dominates the daily snooze cycle, none of which I will post. Nothing to see here, the planet is in meltdown, humans are wreaking the biosphere and the future is as always, more bleak then yesterday was. Those are the facts.

 

 

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11 thoughts on “Humans Are Wreaking The Planet

  • May 22, 2021 at 1:43 pm
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    ‘show that annual mean surface air temperatures in the Arctic will rise to 3.3–10°C above the 1985–2014 average by 2100’

    It is a little difficult to come to terms with that statement when one has seen data indicating much of the Arctic region is already about 3oC above the historic norm, and that positive feedbacks have already been triggered.

    One of the curious aspects of the Arctic is that ice can be saltwater ice, or freshwater ice, or a blend of both.

    Salt water freezes at a lower temperature than freshwater, so with an influx of freshwater (of lower density) sitting on top of saltwater it is possible to get the counter-intuitive situation of there being more ice at higher temperatures because a hell of a lot of water has come down rivers from ice melting in Russia or Canada.

    We do know that the ice covering the Arctic Sea now is mostly recently-formed ice and is of a lower density than the old ice that used to form the ice cap.

    So the habitability of the Earth hangs in the balance of whether or not temperature rises already achieved are sufficient to have markedly destabilised the methane clathrates that sit on the shallow sea floor off the coast of Siberia.

    The forcing factor (relative warming potential) of methane is about 250 times that of CO2 for timeframes that matter.

    • May 22, 2021 at 2:37 pm
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      The Arctic permafrost carbon feedback is an enormous tipping point that I believe we have already crossed. From Paul Beckwith:

      The permafrost on both land and on shallow continental shelves thaws it undergoes microbial decomposition releasing CO2 (aerobically) and/or methane (anaerobically). Years ago, it was estimated that 1,700 Gtons (Pg) of carbon were in the Arctic. The latest science shows that in the 0 to 3 meter deep (10 feet) surface layer of the Arctic and sub-Arctic there is 1,035 Pg; the rest of the Earth has 2,050 Pg in this surface layer. Deeper than 3 m, the Yedoma permafrost holds between 210 and 456 Pg, and non-Yedoma permafrost holds between 350 to 465 Pg. The Eastern Siberian Arctic Shelf, which is the largest and shallowest continental shelf on Earth holds vast amounts of frozen permafrost in the sediments on the sea floor, being thickest where the water is shallowest, and also containing methane hydrates and deep methane reservoirs.

      • May 22, 2021 at 3:27 pm
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        I had a chat with Paul Beckwith a number of years ago by long-distance telephone, him being in Ottawa, Canada and me being in New Plymouth, NZ at the time.

        My query was concerning the instantaneous forcing factor for methane,

        The UNIPPC assigned the value of 28 and subsequently corrected to 34 ‘over 100 years’.

        From memory, the ‘over 20 years’ factor was set at 56, and subsequently increased to 86 times that of CO2.

        I was interested in the instantaneous effect of a ‘methane burp’ from the meta-stable deposits you have mentioned.

        No one knew the answer, and Internet searches had proven fruitless.

        Paul didn’t know either but thought he had read somewhere that it was about 250 times CO2.

        We get some ‘interesting numbers’ if methane erupts at sufficient speed to overwhelm the OH ion and OH radical mechanism that causes slow oxidation of CH4 to CO2 and H2O in the atmosphere.

        2 ppm x 250 = 500 ppm CO2e or equivalent to 500 ppm CO2.

        Adding the contribution from N2O puts the CO2e at close to 1000 ppm if actual CO2 is included.

        If there is a methane burp, atmospheric CH4 won’t be 2 ppm; it will be 5 or 10 or 20 ppm.

  • May 23, 2021 at 2:36 pm
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    Any notion that many of the humans living in industrilised nations are NOT uninformed idiots, and any notion that they will NOT destroy themselves and destroy the habitability of the Earth in the process is easily dispelled by examining what is happening in the world:

    ‘The Brazilian president, Jair Bolsonaro, has led a raucous column of motorcycle enthusiasts through the streets of Rio in an attempt to reenergise his flagging far-right movement as public anger grows over his handling of the country’s Covid outbreak.

    Thousands of flag-waving Bolsonaristas gathered outside the Olympic Park in west Rio on Sunday morning for the two-wheeled show of support before roaring east towards the southern beach districts and city centre, with Bolsonaro near the front.

    As defenders of the Brazilian president assembled under a white banner reading “Legend, you are not alone!”, Bolsonaro’s detractors bashed pans and hurled profanities from their balconies in protest. Many dissenters denounced as “genocidal” his handling of a Covid epidemic that has killed almost half a million Brazilians, nearly half of the total lost in Latin America and the Caribbean.

    Supporters said they had come from across the country to endorse the 66-year-old leader.’

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/may/23/thousands-rally-jair-bolsonaro-obscene-motorcade-covid-deaths

    Clearly it would be a great thing if the extraction of oil, coal and gas were to come to an abrupt end very soon, but methinks the idiots in government and commerce (is there any difference?) will do all they can to keep the dysfunctional arrangements we endure going for as long as possible.

    • May 23, 2021 at 4:26 pm
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      Just more idiotic grandstanding by a proven fool. Trump wants to go back to holding mega-rally’s here even though he’s still a miserable failure, out-of-office, and support for him and his policies worse then ever. But he’s still got his brain dead fans that will do anything to keep him relevant and he knows it (cult followers). Bosolnaro is the same – cult followers. He, like Trump, killed thousands of their own countrymen through horrible policies and refusal to treat the pandemic seriously, making one bad decision after another. Bolsonaro also has the distinction of allowing an additional 20% of the Amazon to be deforested. Both presidents have attempted to cater to industry and wreak the planet as fast as they could.

      Idiots abound – many are in office and many simply won’t go away without a large dose of help. I’m sure you saw the notice that the IEA recommended that trillions in “stranded assets” held by the oil companies remain IN THE GROUND. But we both know that isn’t going to happen, despite the IEA warning that deadly climate change will collapse civilization if they don’t do it.

      Fucking idiots everywhere. We need to string the bastards up.

  • May 23, 2021 at 5:21 pm
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    I haven’t seen any recent reports about ‘stranded assets’ but have been familiar with the tern for a decade, ad have already used it as grist to the mill in the repot I will present to the local business-as-usual mob.

    About 15 years ago I wrote a parody:

    ‘The Earth makes oil faster than we can use it, and oil ‘volcanoes’ tend to erupt when the pressure gets too high.

    The Earth is getting cooler, and headed into an ice age, as a consequence of insufficient carbon dioxide, a plant nutrient, in the atmosphere.

    Debts and deficits don’t matter. If you find that you cannot borrow any more money from one organisation because they say you have borrowed enough, find another organisation to borrow from. Indeed, borrowing is a social service which keeps the economy going and keeps people employed.

    It is therefore our moral duty, as good citizens., to borrow as much money as possible to purchase oil-powered devices to keep the economy booming and to keep Earth habitable for our children.

    It’s not funny any more, even if it does symbolise the thinking of uninformed fuckwits.

    • May 23, 2021 at 6:00 pm
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      I think this is the link: IEA special report shows that all new fossil fuel projects should be stopped

      Actually, this is the other article: No new oil, gas or coal development if world is to reach net zero by 2050, says world energy body

  • May 24, 2021 at 11:10 am
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    Following almost any link almost inevitably results in the following; the pronouncement of a dire predicament, followed by some bullshit about how the dire predicament can be rectified/escaped from via a transition to ‘renewable technology’ and via a transition to electric cars etc.

    In 1948 Eric Blair (George Orwell) highlighted the potential for societies to morph into deceitful, manipulative regimes in which ‘War is peace’, ‘Ignorance is strength’, and ‘Freedom is slavery’, and in which inner party members live lives of luxury while the masses live in increasingly dire and austere circumstances, and in which the ‘chocolate ration is increased from 30 grams per week to 25 grams per week’.

    Apparently it was taken as a template for manipulation of the masses, and we now live in a modern-day ‘1984’.

    The state of perpetual war is both against nations that have resources the ‘developed nations’ need to persist [in the short term] as developed nations, plus the continuing 9and escalating) war on nature, that commenced the moment people abandoned hunter-gatherer lifestyles and adopted settled agriculture about 18,000 years ago,

    Orwell also emphasised that a lie told enough times becomes the ‘truth’.

    So I am really looking forward to the ‘Brave New World’, in which we all get wealthier by doing nothing (other than jiggling with numbers on computer screens), and robots do all the housework, and machines do all the food production work and all the maintenance of infrastructure etc., and we can get on with the really important things in life, like playing computer games, and sightseeing in ‘carbon neutral’ electric vehicles, with ‘carbon neutral’ electric planes to take us to faraway places if we get bored with the local scenery.

    • May 24, 2021 at 11:16 am
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      Good summation. The species is stunning in its ability and proclivity for self-deception. I can’t read anything now without identifying the incessant lies being spewed. Can’t really interact in any meaningful way with other humans that are spewing the same lies. It’s as if there has been a genetic change within their DNA, easy to manipulate, easier still to deceive and distract, easiest yet to cultivate cult-behavior. We live in VERY strange times (unrecognizable). It’s 2021 and the era will be earmarked, book-ended and emphasized by “profound stupidity”.

      To wit: https://www.bellingcat.com/news/americas/2021/01/29/the-qanon-timeline/

  • May 24, 2021 at 2:02 pm
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    You may know of the origin of the following. I’ll paraphrase, as I can’t remember the exact wording:

    When looting is the prime agenda, and the laws of the land are written to facilitate looting, looting becomes a way of life, and becomes unstoppable.

    Furthering that concept:

    When creating stupid behaviour amongst the masses is the prime agenda, and all official narratives and systems are geared to increasing the amount of stupid behaviour amongst the masses, the amount of stupid behaviour increases.

    We know, from the ‘prisoners and guards’ experiments of the late 1960s and early 1970s that about 7 out of 10 people will go along with almost anything if it has the official stamp of authority; about 3 in 10 will object because they feel uncomfortable with what they are required to do; only about 1 in 10 will vigorously protest on moral grounds.

    Cultural memes and fear of authority trump logic and morality most of the time. That why people in Salem went along with their friends and associates being tied down, a door placed on them, and increasing numbers of stones placed on the door because the said person would not admit to consorting with the devil.

    It was only when an outsider, not caught up in the collective insanity, intervened that the madness ceased.

    • May 24, 2021 at 2:32 pm
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      Putting “trump and logic” in the same sentence definitely caught my eye! Oxymoron in America!

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