Lonewolf sent me this, I’ve been too busy stomping out brushfires and responding to email — Half the Amazon Rainforest to be Lost by 2030
The report, “Amazon’s Vicious Cycles: Drought and Fire,” concludes that 55 percent of the world’s largest rainforest stands to be severely damaged from agriculture, drought, fire, logging and livestock ranching in the next 22 years. Another 4 percent may be damaged by reduced rainfall caused by global warming. This is anticipated to destroy up to 80 percent of wildlife habitat in the region.
Wow. As bad as this in, this still isn’t going to go far enough. It’s like 50 – 100 years sooner then the other past estimates, but I’ll step waaaaaay out on a limb here, because this is yet another example of a growing trend I’ve seen.
Here goes: move that timeline up by 15 years. By 2020 we’ll have lost most of the Amazon (just 12 years from now). The reason I’m saying that is because of two factors. Climate change effects are FAR worse then most scientist have been willing to admit. The rate of change is happening much faster then they’ve estimated (which they now admit).
Secondly, human population impacts on the Amazon are still increasing dramatically. Logging and agricultural uses are having a stupendous impact on the remaining forest. This estimate, in my opinion, is also overtly optimistic:
WWF warned that the “point of no return” for the Amazon rainforest, from which ecological recovery will be impossible, is only 15-25 years in the future, much sooner than has previously been supposed.
I strongly suspect that we are less then 2 – 3 years AT MOST for the point of no return, if we are not there already.
The only way we could reverse this trend, or even “meet” the WWF predictions is dramatically reduce human impact and human populations. This might happen yet, I’ll let you speculate how.
But Lonewolf has this to say, now that you read mine:
Wonder how much they ‘figure is gone already (article didn’t say-tmk) – I’d bet 20% completely gone and another 20% damaged now. I’ll also bet that their time line is ‘optimistic’ – that as with every other environmental forecast it’s off by nearly an order of magnitude.
So, IMO take their 30% claim and add to the current looses and speed it up by 30-40% and you have half gone in 5 years, 3/4 gone by 2020, and gone gone by 2030. I’ve also read that the self-reinforcing (negative) feedback wrt to the internal rain cycle is already tripped – years ago.
The ‘report’ claim of 4% reduction in rainfall by 2030 is overt fraud IMO. It’s already way beyond 4% reduction. Also read that 3 consecutive years of drought would transform the entire rain forest to savanna if not desert in short order (years, not decades). The Amazon basin has had “unprecedented” droughts 2 out of the last 3 years already with major tributaries turned into channels of dust (not mud). Just last night I watched the rerun of “6 degrees could change the world” where they showed this in graphic detail (past tense).
Worth reading: Global Warming Is A Brutal Truth
More Lonewolf commentary and quotations:
“But in the Sahel, as I have seen, an effective adaptation technology is already being deployed. It’s called the AK47.”
“The message, never stated but constantly emerging, is that we all have our self-justifying myths. We tell ourselves a story of our lives in which we almost always appear as the heroes. These myths prevent us from engaging with climate change.
The most powerful story of all, endlessly narrated by the hired hands of the fossil fuel industry, just as it was once told by the sugar slavers, is that we are both all-important and utterly insignificant. We are too important to be denied any of the delights we crave, but too insignificant to exert any impact on planetary processes. We fill the whole frame of the story when it suits us and shrink to a dot when that scale is more convenient. We are capable of occupying both niches simultaneously.
It is not just because The Great Global Warming Swindle is at odds with the entire body of scientific knowledge on this subject that I have bothered to contest it. It is also because it is consonant with the entire body of human self-deception. We want to be misled, we crave it; and we will bend our minds into whatever shape they need to take in order not to face our brutal truths.”
HOWEVER – as peak oil and peak food (aka peak you) take hold of the sheeples short hairs, peak climate will become a distant memory and totally ignored (mass denial cubed).
Let me be frank here (since John isn’t being listened to): Collapse is here to stay. Period. It’s a foregone factual conclusion now that we are in the twilight of our civilization. Probably a good thing too. I have no love whatsoever for the rapacious greedy system we have developed.
None of us deserve to survive this. But admittedly, we’re all going to try. The future world (the one that exist by the time you finish reading this blog entry) is radically different then the world of yesterday. Climate change is happening far faster then we’ve been grudgingly told (especially by the Bush Administration that has suppressed thousands of scientists and reports now).
Even worse, the future world will not permit all of us to survive this. This is also a factual impossibility. This is happening of course right now. The only survivors will be those that have successfully adapted to these changes underway. In the meanwhile, there will be many varied attempts to postpone the inevitable. We’ll drill the continental shelf and the Alaskan Wildlife Refuge first. And we’ll cut down the rest of the rainforest too.
It goes without saying that we should do none of these things, but we will. And anyone who opposes them will be labeled a domestic terrorist, since our “non-negotiable” way of life is so sacrosanct and sacred. Too bad that doesn’t also apply to the planet we live on, you know, that blue ball that gives us all life and sustenance.
Killing off the entire planet seems to be the destiny of humans. Until that comes to a full stop, I strongly suspect that this is what is going to happen. But almost nobody is willing to talk about stopping all of our planet destroying behavior so that we can continue to live here. Instead, the discussion always revolves around making things worse. If that is not insane behavior, then I do not know what is.
We need to reevaluate our role here on this rock, and whether or not we should permit each other to do what we’re doing to the place. If we don’t, we will all die, in a choking, acrid and barren landscape surrounded by empty brass casings. It’s that simple.