Future Prep Alert!

Current predictions by the world scientific community (most of them anyway) are that the world will experience increasing temperatures for the next several centuries.

I do not know if anyone has done any work beyond 1,000 years, but of immediate and global concern is the temperature increases that are expected this century and what this is going to mean for all life on Earth.

We live in a very narrow ‘tolerance’ band of temperature variations. Where it is (already) too hot or too cold are places that are not much inhabited by humans. Or plant life. We can only live in places that sustain sufficient levels of biodiversity. Areas and regions that do not are ‘hardscrabble living’ for the humans that do try to exist there.

The uninhabited places of the planet are generally unlived in simply because there is nothing there that will keep humans alive very long without massive amounts of inputs from someplace else.

It is extremely doubtful that most people even have an inkling of what is going to happen when we hear about 6 °C temperature increases. The scientific reports of 4°C – 6 °C (centigrade) temperature do not convey the stark reality of how terribly serious this is. And this is the low estimates!

Here are a few numbers to chew on (contributed by Lonewolf):

Current Temperature
2 Degrees Centigrade Increase
4 Degrees Centigrade Increase
6 Degrees Centigrade Increase
8 Degrees Centigrade Increase
30
34
38
42
46
40
45
51
56
61
50
57
63
70
77
60
68
76
84
93
70
79
89
98
107
80
91
101
112
123
90
102
114
126
138
100
113
127
140
153
110
125
139
154
169

Table is based on current global mean temperature of 15°C.

Current locations experiencing 60 degree temperatures will under a 4°C scenario experience 16 degree temperature increase (60 degrees now becomes 76 degrees). This is a huge variation from current temperatures and will dramatically affect wildlife and fauna.

Examining this table, we see that many areas presently inhabited by humans and those with large agricultural productions will become totally uninhabitable. If we start using the average expected temperature increases, it’s not hard to see that life on Earth is going to be nearly impossible for most regions inhabited today.

Humans can live in 114 degree heat, but they can’t grow enough food of sufficient scale to keep our present population levels alive. Many crops will simply fail as temperatures increase — forever. Other areas will also experience massive depletion or exhaustion of fresh water supplies.
There is some thought that a mild temperature increase can improve crop production, however, this has a greater number of negative effects then positive:

Average temperature increase: An increase in average temperature can 1) lengthen the growing season in regions with a relatively cool spring and fall; 2) adversely affect crops in regions where summer heat already limits production; 3) increase soil evaporation rates, and 4) increase the chances of severe droughts. Agriculture and Food Supply

The above report suggests that we may see a slight improvement for a short while, but the danger is found here:

  • Food production is projected to benefit from a warmer climate, but there probably will be strong regional effects, with some areas in North America suffering significant loss of comparative advantage to other regions.
  • The U.S. Great Plains/Canadian Prairies are expected to be particularly vulnerable.
  • Crops that are currently near climate thresholds (e.g., wine grapes in California) are likely to suffer decreases in yields, quality, or both.
  • Climate change is expected to improve growing conditions for some crops that are limited by length of growing season and temperature. (e.g. fruit production in the Great Lakes region and eastern Canada).

These predictions are going to affect the most productive regions within the United States. California droughts are already taking their toll on an area that was producing 20% of the nations crops.

There is also a very real problem of suitable soils, which were totally ignored in this report. As planet heats up, humans are going to be seeking agricultural lands further north to escape the heat. Guess what? They do not exist. Not on the scale we are presently using or going to be demanding.

Terms like ‘climate chaos’ and ‘climate thresholds’ start taking on new meaning when you realize that the narrow temperature band that supports nearly 7 billion humans is about to be permanently inflamed.

And do you want to know what’s worse? There is nothing we can do about it. One example of climate modification testing just recently backfired, “Hungry shrimp eat climate change experiment“.

Essentially, this is one more foolish idea that has gone down in flames, and it demonstrates our complete lack of control and understanding how monkeying around with nature often doesn’t turn out like we hope. Apparently, our ravenous consumption and planet-altering behavior still has not taught us that destroying the natural environment on a planetary scale is just a bad idea all around.

This is a Future Prep Alert — if you live in one of these regions that will no longer tolerate human habitation, you might want to think about moving, sooner rather then later (as the crush of humanity gobbles up all the available land and food resources).

admin

admin at survivalacres dot com

5 thoughts on “Future Prep Alert!

  • March 29, 2009 at 8:57 am
    Permalink
    For example, under a +6C global mean Increase, locally

    Central Montana Rockies at 6000 ft elevation

    current daytime high : number of days (approx)” new highs
    60F highs 40-50 days becomes 84F high days
    70F highs 30-40 days becomes 98F high days
    80F highs 20-30 days becomes 112F high days
    90F highs 20-30 days becomes 126F high days
    100F highs 6-10 days becomes 140F high days

    Under such a temperature regime, not only would no human survive here, no animal, plant or even insect species would either. Note (again), this is in/for the Northern Rockies. Good luck in CA, AZ, TX, FL, VA, NY, ETC NTM Mexico, Africa, Oz ETC

  • March 29, 2009 at 9:22 am
    Permalink
    BTW, I will NOT be here to experience this – even in theory. And you may not see +6C either (but depending on you age you may well see +3-4C). But you children will see +4C and perhaps +6C if they’re ‘lucky’ enough to survive that is). BUT Will they have any children? Not if they can’t feed (and protect) them.
  • March 31, 2009 at 5:05 am
    Permalink
    One other point to consider, already brought up by some, is that a temperature increase also increases the growth rates and habitat for a number of undesirable plants and animals, noxious weeds, invasive species, and tropical diseases (and their usual vectors, i.e. mosquitos, etc) being high on that list.
    http://www.treehugger.com/files/2008/06/usda-climate-change-super-weeds.php
    http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11250812
    ipetrus.blogspot.com/2008/01/invasive-species-climate-change.html
  • March 31, 2009 at 4:50 pm
    Permalink
    Speaking of weedy overgrowth due to increased atmospheric CO2, IIRC, it’s been published that poison ivy is one of the first responders to increased CO2, and it’s so obvious around here in the midwest. It’s encroaching on about every trail we have on our property and every winter we spend hours uprooting the new growth.
    Another one that is getting pretty annoying around here is “Rough Dogwood” (I think that’s its common name). It is popping up literally everywhere that poison isn’t and sometimes they are competing with each other. I cannot walk along the creek or driveway without seeing new plants everywhere. It isn’t even beautiful like the “regular” flowering dogwood! But who am I to complain, as being human, I have helped cause all this by my human lifestyle.
  • April 3, 2009 at 9:31 am
    Permalink
    ‘told ya’
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/04/03/study-arctic-sea-ice-melt_n_182651.html

    Nothing to see here, or anywhere else.
    Nope, no feedback effects at all [ha ha ahhhhhhh)
    Do not read between the lines.
    Do not pay attention (be outraged)
    It’s only just a mere reflection of your non-negotiable lifestyle (attitude of expectation forevermore – and likely then some).
    Do not give a flocking shit – until it’s too bleating late.
    MoooooooooooVe along lil’ sheeples.
    Bye-bye bipeds.
    Y’all have yourself a nice Die-Off, ya ‘ere.

Leave a Reply