More lies and gross misinformation by the authors and editors over at Phys.org – Global emissions must peak by 2025 to keep warming at 1.5°C: We need deeds not words
Really? So does this mean we are supposed to accept the devastating fires wiping out Greece, the U.S. West as “normal”? Our how about the floods drowning towns in Europe?
The 1.5C “limit” is complete bullshit. Deadly, dangerous, life-altering, civilization ending climate change is already here. Depending on where you live, you are already experiencing this. Now imagine it being worse.
The so-called “future temperature target” has changed from 2C (determined by an economist), to 1.5C and BOTH are dead wrong. Average land temperatures in many locations have already surpassed 3C, while global average temperatures are just under 1.5C right now.
I’ve been harping on the miserable failure of climate scientists to adequately warn the world for some years, writing countless articles and comments to this effect. Nobody listens to me (but they should have), and now, a few others are trying to finally speak up:
An open letter to all climate scientists
Time to tell it like it is
OK. Let’s not beat about the bush. While our world has been going to hell in a handcart, many of you studying and recording its demise have had nothing to say on the subject and have remained deep in the shadows, when what has been needed is for you to hog the limelight. The cod justification you have used is always the same, muttered excuses about the need for objectivity, about how you shouldn’t become involved in politics, about how you are merely faithful recorders of facts; a silo mentality that shields you from having to make difficult decisions or engage with others outside your comfort zones. You know who you are.
In truth, the reason you have never liked to stick your head above the parapet is for fear of being shot at by your peers. As a fellow scientist I understand that – I really do. There is nothing worse than being ridiculed within your own community. It can, I know, mean loss of prestige, a squeeze on funding, and a closing down of opportunities for advancement. I understand, therefore, why you continue to play down anything that might draw attention, why you lie low, tow the party line. I know, too, what you really think and feel about climate change, because I have talked to many of you in private, and the response – without exception – has been that the true situation is far worse than you are prepared to admit in public. So, behind the facade, I know that you are torn between speaking out and holding back, that you are as desperate as anyone for the measures to be taken that the science demands. Most of all, I know that you fear, as much as anybody else, for your children’s future in the world of climate chaos they will be forced to inhabit.
So, what to do. I don’t need to tell you that the chasm between what is needed to tackle the climate emergency, and what measures are actually being taken, flags the extraordinary scale of the uphill battle we face. If we are not to bequeath to our descendants a desiccated, lifeless, hothouse, then we need your help, your support. Now. Today. The time to worry about what your colleagues think of you is long gone. Prestige will mean nothing in the world to come, academic advancement won’t alter the fate of your children and grandchildren one iota. So, speak out, tell it like it is. Force those who need to know to listen. Welcome any flack and hurl it back ten-fold. Come down off the fence and choose the path you know, in your heart of hearts, is the right one.
Bill McGuire is Professor Emeritus of Geophysical & Climate Hazards at UCL and was a contributor to the IPCC 2012 SREX report on Climate Change & Extreme Events and Disasters.
So there you go, exactly as I said. Scientific reticence writ large. Failure to speak up. Failure to adequately warn the world. Failure to put the future into adequate perspective. Failure to put career and job aside and tell the unvarnished truth. Exactly as I’ve said.
This validation isn’t a feather in my cap, it’s a deep abiding sadness that everyone else can be so damned wrong, consistently. They’re proud of it to, always attacking detractors that point out their failures, still circling the wagons against “outsiders”. I saw and experienced this over on Real Climate and I’m still experiencing this anywhere I dare publish a commentary.
Climate scientists are poorly suited to adequately warn the world. They probably need coaching, or some kind of help. Their institutions are also poorly designed to encourage scientists to speak out. They should have declared a climate emergency decades ago, but didn’t (and still really haven’t, despite the recent pronouncement of 14,000 scientists).
Today, the IPCC Report comes out (again) and this too will fail to adequately warn the world despite “assurances” otherwise. A true global emergency is unfolding and we’re still dicking around, writing more reports, omitting critical information and downplaying the reality of what is already happening. But worse, even when it does happen, wiping out a town, a village, a harvest – we’re still in rank denial acrossed the board. By and large, we fail to see what this actually means.
I’ll tell you what it means – it will happen again and again and again, always increasingly worse until our ability to survive on this planet is no longer possible. It is an extinction-level event unfolding right now. We do not have any “time” left as all the disingenuous “reports”, articles and stories falsely claim. The world should pull back across the entire spectrum of human activity that is causing climate change immediately, without any more delay – but won’t. It’s still human thinking that there is time to “discuss” the impacts and “what to do” when in reality, we already know what to do. But industry and business and global leaders refuse to act decisively which is our guarantee of failure.
This is why you are still on your own. You always were. So-called leaders and even climate scientists are miserably failing to warn the world adequately. You have to make your own plans, make your own preparations, and understand that the worse is yet to come. Know that it is virtually unstoppable now and all the finely printed words that seek to assuage your fears are simply endless lies.