Apr 262017
 

I wish this article about young people and their view of the future went into a lot more detail. Unfortunately it doesn’t, and is typical of what is getting published these days on major news sites.

There is pessimism among the younger generation, but also hope “for a sustainable future”. I have to wonder if they really know what those words mean.

In their quest to be environmentally friendly, climate-smart citizens, the young people look for the ‘right’ things to do. Not finding what they’re looking for in the world around them, they express negative feelings such as powerlessness and hopelessness instead of hope that might lead to an ability to act on environmental issues.

“The important lesson to learn from this study is that there are young people aged 17–18 walking around with a very real expectation that their future, and the future of their children and grandchildren, is a world that may be characterised by environmental collapse and climate chaos.”

Cool. At least they get it. I hope. Sometimes fear is a catalyst for action. Or at least personal preparedness. Like learning the essential life skills to stay alive in a declining world. But somehow, I sort of doubt this. The young people I run in to are surly, rude, careless and indifferent (so far). I’m not rubbing elbows with intelligent, capable, competent or even interested young people. Perhaps they’re out there, just not here. Or perhaps this article doesn’t convey the whole story.

If they’re truly aware of the predicament of the future – they already know that they really are powerless within the current paradigm to change much of anything. That would be start – to realize that seeking a system change within the system is already a failure.

The young people in the study also have difficulty seeing how adult society, the education system, politicians and the business sector can help them create a sustainable future.

Well, they can’t. Not really. The education system, politicians and business sector is going to choose the path of self-survival. As always. An entirely new paradigm has to be created – from the ground up, that encompasses real true sustainability (assuming that this could even happen, another topic altogether). But as always, the terminology is always being redefined and watered down to mean something that it was never meant to mean. And the goal posts get shifted around along with new verbiage. What we’re really talking about here is business as usual. The new is the old and the old just doesn’t intend to change.

I feel for the young people, but there’s just not much I can do. Learn life skills for a declining world would be my advice. Quickly. Abandon any and all notions of stability. Know that what you have today will be gone tomorrow. And so on. But I don’t think they read this blog, so I’ll stop here.

Apr 162017
 

Sea level rise is happening faster then expected – so don’t pay any attention to the idiot denier websites (and their commentary). I’ve seen some of the pure garbage that they churn out. It’s enough to make a thinking person go mad.

Now they’re saying it’s 8 feet (but it will be more) by 2100:

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) just reported that the sea level is rising faster than expected in the northeastern United States and other specific regions. As climate change worsens, the global sea level could rise by eight feet before the year 2100.

Eventually, they’ll accommodate all the known data on sea level rise. But it will be more then 8 feet. And more then 9. Because it’s all melting a lot faster then these reports are claiming.

 

Apr 112017
 

This is an essay by William P Hall, President, Kororoit Institute, Evolutionary Biology of Species and Organisms.

The observations show a growing risk to human society from runaway global warming, and they beg explanation.

This essay focuses on observations of what appears to be the start of runaway warming in the Arctic that may have profound effects on global climates over the next few years; and a plausible cause – the warming driven release of methane gas from permafrost forming a strong greenhouse cap over the Arctic Ocean.

The observations summarized here are based on computerized analyses of many millions of data points collected per day covering the entirety of the satellite era, beginning in 1979.

I wonder how many of these kinds of alerts will need to be published before the world at large takes serious notice. Of course, this is a rhetorical question. Our past response indicates that we are still far away from being seriously concerned – even when it acknowledged that we are past critical tipping points.

You should take a look at this essay, as it encompasses many of the points of concern that have been unfolding over the last several years. I’ve been warning here about tipping points for some time, but this essay is an easy and short read that summarizes what you need to know.

The large temperature anomalies in the Arctic have been of particular interest, since this was all happening during winter when there was no sun. This should have been a clear signal to all observers, including climate scientists, but either because of reticence, muzzling or the simply inability to be forward thinking, it did not garner the attention that it should have. And to be honest – it still hasn’t.

A warm Arctic in winter means a too-warm Arctic in spring (most likely), and summer follows spring, when Arctic sea ice will be at its lowest levels ever. A world-record ice loss is expected this year, including a Blue Ocean Event where there is no summer ice in the Arctic. This is bad news for every living entity on the planet because it means that the Arctic will have warmed up past the point where any ice can survive in summer, which in turn means the ice will be too low in fall and in winter, setting up a chain-reaction event from a warming ocean where less and less ice and the critical temperature gradient from the equator will greatly lessen. A highly disrupted jet stream is the result – with stuck weather patterns (too hot, too cold, too much precipitation and too little precipitation). All-in-all, it’s bad, bad news for human survival because it will dramatically affect temperatures, crop seasons, harvests, plant propagation, pollination and the number of field days where crops can be tended.

I’ve been warning about this for years. This was a “given” – a known outcome already years ago if we lost the Arctic sea ice – which looks like is going to happen pretty soon. If not this year then perhaps next. I expect to see rapid global warming immediately preceding this event and certainly, thereafter.

Long-time readers are well aware of my own position on these events. There is an extensive blog history of what I expect to unfold as the planet continues to warm up, which is an absolute take-it-to-the-bank certainty. In any case, this essay by Hall is yet another clear warning to the world about what is unfolding now. Don’t ignore this. The world needs to prepare for what this means. Here is the conclusion of the essay:

My conclusion from what appears to be undeniable evidence is that we have already passed the tipping point where we had any hope of stopping warming at 2 or even 3 °C, and urgently need to focus on greatly improving our scientific understanding and learning learning how to live with and survive decades of rapid heating, and to develop global geoengineering tools to actively remove greenhouse gases from the atmosphere before most life on the planet (including ourselves) is exterminated heat stroke and starvation in collapsing ecosystems.

This is why I devised the LIFE project, preparing for reduced human survival with the full-knowledge and awareness that most of humanity will either refuse to act, or be unable to do so.  Moreover, it is already evident that not every country, nor the inhabitants within those countries, will survive. Many regions of the world are already deemed uninhabitable in the future. The number of refugees will be absolutely massive (hundreds of millions, at least). Nobody is preparing for this, but this is not something you can do overnight. It will take years of planning.

Apr 092017
 

Once again, the predictions you’ll read about here are woefully underestimated. But even at these low estimates, this might raise some consternation (and not much else):

Up to Two-Thirds of SoCal Beaches May Disappear by 2100, USGS Predicts

In a new study released on March 27, 2017, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) predicts that 31 to 67 percent of Southern California’s beaches may be completely eroded away by the year 2100, based on sea level rise of one to two meters. Once the sand is gone, exposed bedrock may be all that’s left.

The one or two meter sea level rise is a huge underestimate. But I doubt that the sand will just disappear – if the terrain permits redepositing sand, which obviously cannot be done on a cliff face and so forth. Apparently their model takes this into account.

It’s not just the underestimate of sea level rise that I find noteworthy here, but the ridiculous concerns about tourism and real estate values. I expect the world to be in full-blown survival mode by 2100 and only if we manage to last that long. Global food production will have been devastated. The number of dead will have reached into the billions. Continue reading »

Apr 072017
 

I’m going to share some news on what scientists “think” we need to do to avoid catastrophic climate change. I already know (and can prove) that this is all wrong, but to put this into perspective, it’s important that you know what they’re claiming:

In order to keep the climate from warming beyond 2°C, “to avoid the worst risks of a hotter planet”, these things MUST be done –

1) Global CO2 emissions from energy and industry have to fall in half each decade. That is, in the 2020s, the world cuts emissions in half. Then we do it again in the 2030s. Then we do it again in the 2040s. They dub this a “carbon law.” Lead author Johan Rockström told me they were thinking of an analogy to Moore’s law for transistors; we’ll see why.

2) Net emissions from land use — i.e., from agriculture and deforestation — have to fall steadily to zero by 2050. This would need to happen even as the world population grows and we’re feeding ever more people.

3) Technologies to suck carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere have to start scaling up massively, until we’re artificially pulling 5 gigatons of CO2 per year out of the atmosphere by 2050 — nearly double what all the world’s trees and soils already do.

Scientist made a detailed roadmap for meeting the Paris climate goals. It’s eye-opening.

Now here is the bad news for humans (everyone alive or to be born) – these goals are categorically impossible to achieve, as in it can’t happen – ever.

1) The global growth paradigm is fossil fuel based (and always will be) and will never “agree” to contract voluntarily. Even in a global collapse of the economy, there will still be continued greenhouse gas emissions and growth. That is the long and short of it.

2) Emissions from land use will never fall to zero. Never, ever. Not unless humans are long dead and gone, agriculture (and food) is extinct and thousands of years have passed to restore the natural equilibrium of the planet.

3) No such technologies exist to scale and likely, never will. The requirements of even a single one of these ‘giant vacuums’ (or anything else yet imagined) exceeds every project ever devised by mankind. We lack virtually everything to accomplish even one of these projects proposed so far, the funding, political will, technological expertise and time. And there is a huge question of whether we even have the resources to pull one of these projects off.

The so-called ‘decarbonization’ requirement to keep warming below 2°C is an utter fantasy. It will never, ever happen. And it is a argument / claim that needs to be utterly abandoned because it has always been a lie and nothing is going to change this fact.

The rest of the article linked above will tell you a bit about ‘carbon pricing’ which in a fossil fuel derived world, may sound like it makes sense, but this too is false. Marketing the price of carbon does nothing to change the emissions of carbon as supposed, and does not address any of the root causes of our contributions to greenhouse gases. It is a disingenuous claim that will not stop warming at all, but it will make some people / countries rich in the meanwhile.

The ‘roadmap’ isn’t just staggering – it is impossible, a virtual pipe dream that needs to be called out for what it is – an utter fantasy. And what this claim really means by virtue of its impossibility is there is no way humans are going to stop warming up the planet and making things worse. It’s just not going to happen – ever. Not in ANY of the scenarios described, but I cant think of several not described (volcanism / catastrophic collapse of civilization, global plague / catastrophic collapse of civilization and so forth – none good). Whatever actually happens, its going to be a very rough and difficult time to be alive.

I’m not arguing that we should not try to stop global warming – try we must (read my history on this point). I’m stating, categorically – we will fail with every approach so far devised. And here is the truth of the matter – we will fail because we failed to address the issue long ago when we should have and when we could have. Moreover, we will fail because we refuse to sacrifice this civilization as the carbon emitting heat engine that it really is. Growth / civilization must end – and as you would expect, it’s not on the table and never will be.

I’ve known this for years and years now and find every article, story, claim and wishful hopium ‘argument’ that claims otherwise to be seriously misguided delusional disinformation. We’re being terribly dishonest about the reality of our situation and our willingness to do what it takes. I think it is unlikely that we’ll ever admit to our utter foolishness on this matter.

Therefore, the “large-scale geoengineering” option is definitely what is going to happen. Expect it. It’s also what industry really wants. This way, it allows them to postpone any real effort as long as possible. They can pass this horrifying future off to your children (more on that later). They’ll be very busy claiming how necessary this is while deflecting their own unwillingness to act decisively when they should have. Geoengineering is most definitely in your future – and it’s risky as hell. It also carries the same caveats – as long as we try to preserve this destructive civilization, nothing we do will work in the long term.

In the meanwhile – expect higher and higher temperatures, a massively stalled jet stream with long unendurable “weather” (hot / cold / wet / dry) patterns, rapidly rising food prices and spreading starvation, widespread economic impacts and endless lies, denials, distractions, obfuscation and greedy opportunists trying to cash in from oh, … just about everybody.

Apr 062017
 

This is the new picture on the Bureau of Land Management website – be patient, it may load slowly:

If you don’t know what this is – it is a giant lump of coal.

Previously, the BLM showed a nice picture of range land with a couple of backpackers in the foreground. Now, it’s TRUiMPhantly showing a lump of dirty coal.

We live in an INSANE world. And it’s getting rapidly worse.

Parts of the Arctic Ocean are Turning Into the Atlantic

Over 1/3 of the Arctic Ocean has now changed into something resembling the Atlantic.

And Paul Beckwith reports “last week there were 37 icebergs calving off from Greenland, this week 450 plus icebergs”.

I don’t suppose this is going to wake anyone up.

Unless their steaming their way through on the Titanic.

Which we all are.

Mar 312017
 

This is a dangerous development, months ahead of the normal summer heat: India under intense heat wave: Temperatures soaring to abnormal levels well ahead of the summer season: Maharashtra records record 46.5C (114F).

I doubt if a bunch of dead people will gain the attention of the idiotic world leaders who have chosen to play “Trumpy See, Trumpy Do”, but a heat wave of this magnitude this early is revealing that things are changing rapidly.

And to make matters worse, it’s not just humans experience severe changes, the black bears of Siberia are in really bad shape throughout 2015 and 2016.

Could it be related to this? The loss of Arctic ice is going to have severe global repercussions, but that’s a topic everyone here should be well versed in by now. Keep in mind it’s only April. It’s supposed to be spring.

Mar 312017
 

Oh boy.

The Heartland Institute plans on contacting EVERY science teacher in the country. To do what, might you ask? To encouraging these teachers to consider and teach explanations for global warming that reject humans’ role in a changing climate.

This boils my blood, because the Heartland Institute has a long, long history of despicable practices and deceit. Their lies about the scientific consensus has long been taken to task, and yet they’re still regurgitation this crap and insisting this is taught to every child in the country. They’re siezing the political opportunity generated by the Trumpanzees and Trumpatollah and the miserable failure of the whore media which sold out America long ago.

It is my opinion that this organization should be immediately outlawed, have all of its assets burned to ground, with the ashes scattered to the four winds of the earth, and then salt the ground wherever any of these stupid fools once lived.

Either that are we just kill all their members, because that’s what they’re going to do to all of us. It’s idiots and morons like this that are going to ensure that nothing is done in the years ahead about the greatest threat of all facing humanity. Greed and profits are much more important that a survivable, livable habitat.

It’s hard to believe that at a time like this, when climate change is having a serious impact upon millions of people already, that we’re still having these asinine “debates” which are really just  efforts attempting to disguise and deflect human responsibility, specifically for the most polluting industries of all, energy and oil, which the Heartland Institute is very much a part of.

They’re not interested in honesty or discussion, having for years and years irrationally rejected all the facts, evidence, science and observations regarding climate change and what’s causing it. They’re only interested in further their own vested interests in polluting the planet even further for profit. Of course this should be illegal, but barring that, we might need to step in ourselves and take matters into our own hands.

But we won’t. It’s not just Americans that don’t give a damn about their own future, it’s most Europeans too. And now Vladimir Putin has chosen to jump on the bandwagon of stupid fools. None of these morons are climate scientists. None have the qualifications, credentials or experience or the expertise of climate scientists. None are listening to the climate scientists, who are exasperated and befuddled by the sheer level of utter stupidity now being expressed by world leaders.

This comes as no surprise to this author, because it’s always been plainly evident that little to nothing would be done and the business-as-usual model would be maintained as long as possible, and all these leading fools are seizing the chance to do so. The reality is humans are going to sail right into an Apocalypse of their own making, eyes wide shut, screaming with glee. It won’t be out of ignorance either, it will be because of apathy and greed. Too lazy and indifferent to truly care, too greedy to give any of it up.

Now pay attention here – there is a shift in the vernacular (speeches, statements and language) being published and more then likely, spoken in the back rooms out of sight. The change you should notice is this, they’re admitting (already, without even trying) climate change cannot be stopped. To even say that (which Putin just did, as have many other figures) is an admission that climate change is real. Several non-experts, non-scientists are claiming it’s “natural” and unstoppable which when compared to the extreme rate of change being measured and experience is simply not true (there is such a thing as natural climate change, but it does not fit the actual current record at all). The rate of change we are experiencing has been directly tied to human activity, which these deniers are pissing all over themselves about.

But the important things is this – they’re starting to admit it’s all true, and adaption is the answer to something humans have no control over. In other words, they are denying any human responsibility, and thus ensuring the business-as-usual paradigm continues (polluting the atmosphere and planet with greenhouse gasses), and looking ahead to how they can profit from adaption efforts. None of them are bright enough or care enough to realize that there will be no adaption to climate change like they assume, especially if they keep pumping gigatons of carbon into the atmosphere like Trump wants to.

There is a very narrow band of survivability for plants and animals and surface and water temperatures. Once the wet-bulb temperature exceed plant survival in food producing regions for a long enough time (ruining crops and harvests, impacting pollination) – it’s all over. And there are dozens of other knock-on effects to consider, like sea level rise, extreme weather events, ocean acidification, effects on the ocean currents, species extinctions and many more. I covered this years ago in This Means Extinction and elsewhere on this blog.

I’ve dared to publish the words that won’t be spoken. Climate change is going to wipe out humanity. There is absolutely no doubt about this at all. And it will happen far sooner then most people will think possible because apathy and indifference will accelerate the effects of climate change which will rapidly worsen as we continue to deny our responsibility and fail to make any sincere efforts to change our ways.

We’re flirting with disaster in ways which may not be obvious to millions and millions of people, but that does not make it any less of a threat. The morons that are contributing to this crisis are a clear and present danger to us all and they need to be removed, stopped and jailed for crimes against humanity. It won’t be enough, but it will be a start.

Mar 302017
 

This is a story that will “hit home” – but will Trump just try to build another wall?

Sea-level rise may displace 13 million people in the US by 2100.

Sea-level rise could force three times as many people in the US from their homes by the end of this century as previously thought, according to an analysis of population trends.

Mathew Hauer, a demographer at the University of Georgia in Athens, says that until recently most studies that predicted the risks associated with sea-level rise used current population numbers combined with projections of future sea levels.

The problem with that, he says, is that the predictions have become “outdated almost immediately”.

“Coastal communities are some of the most rapidly growing communities in the world, so you have to account for the fact that these areas are growing,” says Hauer. “Using current data, we’re underestimating what the future growth in coastal communities is likely to do in terms of placing people at risk of sea-level rise.”

Hauer and his colleagues therefore combined projected population growth with the scenarios of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) on predicted sea-level rise.

They found that a 1.8-metre rise by 2100, near the top end of NOAA’s predictions, could lead to 13.1 million people being displaced – more than three times as many as indicated by current populations. A more modest 0.9-metre rise would still displace 4.3 million, also a three-fold increase on previous estimates.

I am aware that that 1.8 metre claim is incorrect. If you are not aware of the real number, it will be much, much higher then this with a corresponding number of American climate refugees (as high as 50 million). If any of us are still here in 2100 that is, but even if we’re not, the seas will have risen at least 9 feet by then and some science sources say as much as 30 feet (2.7 – 9.1 meters).

Pretty much “everyone” seems to be under order to under-report the real expected sea level rise. I’m sure it helps keep prime real estate values high as long as possible.

Oh, this is going to be a major problem – no more drinking water in these areas. Ground water inundation. Imagine that! Rising seas and fresh water don’t mix! Maybe the Trumpatolla could build a wall that would circle the entire island of Hawaii! But wait – that won’t work either:

In a statement announcing release of the study, Habel said, “This flooding will threaten $5 billion of taxable real estate; flood nearly 30 miles of roadway; and impact pedestrians, commercial and recreation activities, tourism, transportation, and infrastructure. The flooding will occur regardless of seawall construction, and thus will require innovative planning and intensive engineering efforts to accommodate standing water in the streets.”

The researchers also found that about 85 percent of the active cesspools in the study area are probably swamped with groundwater, which means that cesspool effluent, including remnant human waste, is  entering coastal groundwater and coastal environments.

Sea level rise of approximately three feet would fully inundate 39 cesspools, introducing effluent at the ground surface where people work and live. This presents a serious health concern that will become progressively more serious as contaminated waters begin breaching the ground surface.

“Our findings suggest that coastal communities in Hawai’i and globally are exposed to complex groundwater flooding hazards associated with sea level rise in addition to the typical concerns of coastal erosion and wave overtopping,” said Chip Fletcher, professor of Geology and Geophysics and associate dean in SOEST and principal investigator on the study.

Sea level rise is HUGE threat to humans. And like most everything else with this Administration, it’s not worth paying attention to.

Am I the only one who detects a major political problem here?

Mar 292017
 

The Trump agenda is not about putting America first. It’s about putting the privileged (monied) first. The Washington Post has a decent perspective on this, but it doesn’t go quite far enough.

Really, though, Trump’s policy reflects a deeper truth. Climate change denial is not incidental to a nationalist, populist agenda. It’s central to it. And that’s not a coincidence.

Combating global warming requires international cooperation, multinational agreements and rules. Done right, no country is exceptional, and some might have to sacrifice for others. In other words, it strengthens the international order that Trump and his team are so assiduously trying to dismantle in the name of “America First.”

As Andrew Norton, director of the International Institute for Environment and Development, explains:

“Climate change is a highly inconvenient truth for nationalism, as it is unsolvable at the national level and requires collective action between states and between different national and local communities. Populist nationalism therefore tends to reject the science of climate change however strong the evidence.

Although I write about climate change most often, it is not the only issue of concern (by a long shot). It is however, THE issue that will affect all humans and all other species of life on this planet because it transcends borders, Presidents, races, religions, regions and even our imagination. It is the Extinction Level Event that spells the end of our species.

I have come to accept that Americans will never give a damn about their environment in a measure that will be meaningful to true conservation. I have also come to realize that conservatives have no concept of conservation at all. There is nothing conservative about them. American history is not about preservation, protection, liberty or respect, it’s really about domination, destruction, total dominion and extraction. These are the principles that built America  and destroyed the country as each successive generation of dominionists trampled upon everything they possibly could.

It is an untold story that only comes to your awareness upon deep reflection of history and current events. It is not going to change either, no matter how much “evidence” there is, or how many people, species or life suffers. The real story of modern humans is one of conquest and domination and the final chapter has not been written. The Trump Administration is hell-bent on ensuring that their mark upon the historical record imprinted upon the Earth will never be forgotten. Some people are convinced that this will be good for the country, I’m convinced of just the opposite.

But in the end, it is not going to matter what I think or what anyone else thinks. The reigns of power have passed to a madman and like the stupid puppets we really are, we will respond to the pull on the string. There is no courage in this country to refuse the President and his many asinine decrees just as there was no courage before with other Presidents and their many decrees. Every governmental employee is just “doing their job” which is really just another way of saying their job always comes first and to hell with principles. It is the same with military contractors and assembly line workers and every other employee who is building, buying or engaging in any aspects of destroying the lives of other humans. The job always comes first.

We are all playing lip-service to what we claim to believe and what we actually do. It’s all quickly forgotten when our monetary survival is threatened and then we simply do what we are told. Once they controlled how we survived, they had us – forever, and they know it. Everything else is now just vented steam. Our anger is meaningless, our disgust misdirected, our activism nearly useless. They’re quite adept at shifting the goal posts and keeping the dissenters distracted, divided and ineffective. The rest can’t be bothered to care enough anyway.

So this is what life has become. Puppeteers and pulling strings. The next go-around will be another agenda, another President, another war, another event. And the goal posts will change ever so slightly once again, but it will always be business as usual. Those of us that are few and concerned about a habitable future are not going to achieve the success that is needed because the status-quo will never, ever allow it. We lack the courage to kill them and take the reigns ourselves and even if we did it would not change anything. The human trajectory is a Juggernaut of immense enormity and weight, the essential course correction that many champion for will never happen.

I think I should start another business in the field of death and destruction, that would put me on semi-equal terms with the rest of America. Your suggestions on how I might do this would be appreciated.