The process of global collapse and decline can be fairly described as a series of events, observations and measurements depicting an overall decline in the ability of a civilization to take care of itself.
While it is possible that a single event could precipitate a catastrophic collapse of civilization, the historical record demonstrates that this type of event is very, very rare. History most often shows that the collapse of civilization, which has happened many times before, is a variable period of lasting decades to thousands of years, although there are some exceptions to this.
Modern man has forgotten that all former civilizations are now gone. Their relics and monuments remain, but their applicability to “us” and our advanced modern world mystifies most of us. We may be the decendents of our ancestors, but we are nothing like them.
Our ethnocentric views, lack of history, and the overall general disconnect and indifference of how our civilization exists creates an illusion of false comfort, a sense of the “here and now” as being all that matters, creating a false sense of “protection” and a blind faith that any possible collapse of the modern world is virtually “impossible” in this day and age.
Hinging upon this false sense of security is the general lack of understanding of the interconnected Earth systems of which all humans (who have ever existed) and all life on Earth depend, and the fabricated human dependencies we have fashioned for ourselves, which is civilization itself, and the over-exploitation of the natural resources over the entire surface of this world.
Most people simply ignore what we are doing, and go right on doing what they were doing before, remaining generally ignorant and indifferent to their personal contribution and that of the larger society around them towards the “impossible”.
Indeed, it is the very construct of these devices and designs that we call civilization, now spanning the entire globe, that has created the illusion of safety and security. We’ve come to “depend” upon these steely layers of metal, concrete and asphalt and construction as a false security blanket against a world many of us barely seem to understand, yet it is the same world it has always been.
Ancient man lived closer to the land by necessity, taking sustenance and what comfort could be found by the work of his hands and the sweat of his brow and the sheer opportunity that presented itself. The Earth provided, the incredible abundance of this planet ensured that survival of the human race was all but guaranteed for hundreds of thousands of years, even millions into the future (at least), barring catastrophic disaster or perhaps the insane stupidity of a advanced civilization screwing things up too badly.
Yet the very unthinkable has now happened. The “impossible” has arrived at our doorstep by incremental degrees, like most collapse of civilizations before, and yet we barely recognize it, stubbornly clinging to our security blankets and the safety of ignorance embodied in the “here and now” existence we call daily life.
To all of my readers:
I often contemplate what to call the title of each blog post. First off, I want you to read it. I have zero interest in gaining your “following” or personal attention, knowing that this false illusion of self-importance destroys character and integrity. I publish anonymously, every time on purpose, so that the words and not the man are what is important. Secondly, I want you to contemplate and assess what is written. Weigh it out, think about it, decide for yourselves if it’s right or wrong. Over the years, I’ve written thousands of entries and articles here, there are even more elsewhere on now defunct forums. From the about me page:
The collapse of our society and particularly, the United States, is unfolding before our eyes. My focus is on sustainability and common sense, even if the United States somehow manages to stay intact, which I now very much doubt. Collapse is coming and finding ways to navigate this morass and devastation to come is now consuming the majority of my time and life. My purpose in ensure my own survival is quite simple – we have an obligation to all future generations to simply live. While we have squandered their (and our) inheritance in unbelievable ways, we stand a small chance of preserving humanity itself if we change our ways.
There is grave doubts regarding our chances and whether or not we will change our ways. Since starting this blog, I have come across a tremendous amount of evidence that the United States in particular will not change it’s ways in time or sufficiently enough to avoid a catastrophic collapse. I now believe that this is 100% unavoidable for the entire world. With collapse will come many radical and dangerous changes, the likes of which I have carefully documented on this blog.
I wrote that over 7 years ago. In that time, I have seen nothing but mounting evidence that the collapse of civilization is definitely happening — and that it will be more catastrophic then we can even imagine.
I very much “feel” for our future generations. I have a family, children, a wife, and people I care about. Yet there future survival is not a certainty, not at all. In fact, we may have unleashed a terrifying monster of epic proportions upon them. And this frightens me very, very much.
The title of this post then must be serious, because of late, I have had nothing but serious news to report. And this post is no different. Beyond my pleading words above that all readers truly listen with their hearts to the words written, this post is about what lies ahead. The “impossible” has happened, it is happening. It is a certainty, a guaranteed experience for the entire planet.
I am not a scientist, and I am not bound by any peer-rules of “don’t be too alarmist”. Yet it is the scientist themselves who are bringing forth the evidence.
I have long believed it is my duty as a human being, an inhabitant of this Earth, to speak the truth as loudly as I dare (in a time when telling the truth will get you killed or arrested). There are times indeed, when I say nothing, however, this is not one of those times. For some time now, I have been trying to convey how much, how fast, and how serious things are getting, because it is all working together in a mosaic of disaster for humanity and the Earth.
We need to know if we hope to change anything.
So know this. There is a new article – Albedo change in the Arctic
The graph below depicts the loss of sea ice in the Arctic. The black line is actual measurements since the early 80’s up to summer 2012 (now). The red line projects no sea ice as early as 2015.
There are more graphs on the link above, you should read the article too. The article also shows a trend line of no ice by 2014, just two years away.
How is this a big deal? The loss of sea ice exposes open ocean, changing the albedo (reflection). The albedo effect sends solar energy back out into space, critical to the survival of the biosphere (living things).
It’s also happening over land:
Apart from the albedo change that comes with this loss of sea ice, there’s also the loss of snow cover on land. Snow cover over Northern Hemisphere lands retreated rapidly in May and June, leaving the Arctic Ocean coastline nearly snow free, says the National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC), adding that this rapid and early retreat of snow cover exposes large, darker underlying surfaces to the sun early in the season, fostering higher air temperatures and warmer soils.
Here are a few borrowed images:
So what’s the big deal?
The joint impact of loss of sea ice and loss of snow cover on land will make a huge difference; much more sunlight is now absorbed, instead of reflected back as was previously the case.
Professor Wadhams estimates the present summer area of sea ice at 4 million square km, with a summer albedo of about 0.60 (surface covered with melt pools). When the sea ice disappears, this is replaced by open water with an albedo of about 0.10. This will reduce the albedo of a fraction 4/510 of the earth’s surface by an amount 0.50. The average albedo of Earth at present is about 0.29. So, the disappearance of summer ice will reduce the global average albedo by 0.0039, which is about 1.35% relative to its present value.
As NASA describes, a drop of as little as 0.01 in Earth’s albedo would have a major warming influence on climate—roughly equal to the effect of doubling the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which would cause Earth to retain an additional 3.4 watts of energy for every square meter of surface area.
It’s right there. The biosphere cannot safely absorb an additional 3.4 watts of energy to every square meter of the surface, it will heat up too fast. The speed by which this happens will be (and already is) faster then species (including humans) can adapt (those that survive). The net effect is the Earth will absorb FAR more energy that it can radiate back into space. Land, ocean and air will heat up far too fast.
Now you know why chemtrail geo-engineering has been going on (secretly) for so long. They’re trying to reflect energy back into space. Perhaps it’s worked somewhat, I don’t know — well, on second thought I do. It hasn’t worked sufficiently, as the graph above shows.
You have a decade, maybe more, maybe less, before hellish conditions will exist. Meanwhile, oxygen depletion will worsen due to increasing temperatures, to what degree I don’t know. I can safely say it won’t be getting better. Not unless we shut everything down, pronto, and hope like hell that we still have a chance to reverse what we started.
Unlikely. Which is why I never dwell on this hopium topic. It’s fantasy. Modern humans are simply too arrogant to believe that the impossible has now happened.
Between now and then — food destruction (crop loss), desertification, loss of oceans, reefs, fishing, storms, flooding (hydrological cycle will be greatly accelerated), resource wars, political pandering and finger pointing, all the usual sins and evils of mankind mixed in with chaotic Earth systems swinging wildly from the “norm” (ridding itself of the virus).
Get ready. Lame “advice”, I know, considering the size of the problem, but what else are you going to do? Wring your local politicians neck? That will come too, probably — sooner then we may think.
I’m not going to spend any time on the (s)Election, it’s utterly irrelevant and totally meaningless. The next idiot-in-charge will undoubtedly screw things up even worse, they always do.
Emergency planning on a global scale is clearly needed, but you won’t see this for a while, and there is a very high probability, knowing how government works and thinks, you won’t like it anyway. At all. First, it will be business as usual. Then, too little, too late. Then lots of hand-wringing and head rolling as a (very) few of those held responsible are sacrificed to appease the anger of the people. In the end, desperation will drive decision-making. It’s anybody’s guess “what” will be done, but it’s already very unlikely it will be sufficient. That’s more Hopium.
It is the refusal to face the facts, accept the evidence and deal with the expectations that will cause massive levels of suffering and loss on this planet. Kinda like what has been happening within the modern world since it’s arrival a few hundred years ago. We were hell-bent on wiping out everything in our path as our “Destiny” compelled us. Well, we got it, as they say. You just can’t save some things that were wrong to begin with. And we need to STOP TRYING. IT IS NOT THIS CIVILIZATION THAT WE SHOULD BE SAVING.
There are an increasing number of people and organizations that are saying that, so I’m not alone. The civilization we have now is virtually, figuratively and quite literally, TOAST.
So our job, as it were, is to collectively figure out what can be done if humans are to survive. First, I would strongly suggest that we preserve as much as the biosphere as we can, it is after all, what we depend upon for our own existence. Secondly, our civilization will need to be redesigned and rebuilt for survival. How? I don’t know. I’ve reviewed various proposals, some “get it” in regards to truly fundamental changes required, but most don’t. I’m working on it. I hope to contribute something in this direction in the future. My own plans are taking up all of my free time, but long ago I recognized that without community support, it was all for naught.
We don’t have time to screw around either, not at all. The entire world should be on emergency “war” footing right now to deal with this issue. Industry, business and government should be revamped as fast as humanly possible to both change their destructive ways and contributions to the problem and redesigned / modeled towards solutions. If there are any. There definitely exists a high probability that there aren’t any, because the drastic emergency actions that are needed are needed right now, not ten or twenty years from now. It would take the shut down of industrial civilization (globally) and immediate conversion to agrarian / locally grown / locally produced low-impact living (no more emissions), reforestation and population control (which is going to happen anyway) to offer the best, real chance humanity has. Everything else is Hopium. Space blankets blocking the sun, nuclear weapons discharging aluminum particles over the planet, iron oxide in the ocean — we have no frigging idea what the terrifying side-effects could be.
What is obvious though are two things: we won’t do it. We will cling to “this” civilization and its method of madness as long as we possibly can, to our own peril. So take that advice if you can. Don’t expect much. As usual, you are really and truly on your own (and always were, but now it’s starting to sink home I think).
The lines will be long, so keep that in mind. Discard everything else and start thinking about what you may want to do. I do not advocate giving up (and never have). Giving up means your entire life is wasted, you “quit”. Life isn’t something you quit, you live life. Living is just going to get a lot harder, but nobody promised any of us an easy road or an easy life unless you were born with a silver spoon in your mouth and a trust fund.
It’s brass tacks time people. I can’t make it any plainer then this. What we do now, and in the next decade, will dictate EVERYTHING.
Readers: please promote this post and the others linked in this article. I’ve never asked you to do this before, believing that all should decide for themselves. This time it’s different — please spread the word. We’ve got to try.