The Carbon Future

We now, in the year 2018, have a carbon problem of such gargantuan size and severity that it now presents an extinction level threat to most, if not all life on Earth no matter what we now do.

This problem remains totally unsolved. This dilemma facing all of humanity, indeed all of life on Earth is truly monumental. It staggers our ability to imagine the scale, scope and complexity of this threat. We’re still trying to come to grips with what this really means. Numerous past articles have tried to do exactly that – this is yet another attempt.

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We Don’t Have As Much Time As Everyone Thinks

I cannot find any reason to doubt these conclusions, can you?

Estimating the warming rate for each, the highest rate is for the data from Cowtan & Way, a whopping 1.91 ± 0.24 °C per century. The “±” indicates a 95% confidence interval, so the real rate is almost surely between 1.67 and 2.15 °C per century. At those rates, we’ll reach extremely bad sometime between 2036 and 2042….

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Fresh Water Disappearing

Surprise, surprise (not) – More than 5 billion people could suffer water shortages by 2050 due to climate change

Unless you’ve been living under a well-watered rock for the past few years, the notion that water shortages won’t be a problem for billions in the years ahead is factually false.

Glaciers are going to continue to keep melting for decades – Well, duh! That’s what glaciers do – but what they reporting is old news here.  If all carbon emissions were stopped instantly, there would still be massive glacial melt for decades. Of course – it’s called climate inertia and it’s as unstoppable as the rising sun. This is another puff piece that doesn’t do this topic any justice – like just how will 5 billion people survive without this essential melt water that provides drinking, irrigation, sanitation and industrial activity? Hint – many of them won’t.

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Trump States Suffer Most – Poetic Justice?

In a interesting twist of ‘fate’ (if you can call man-made climate change such a thing), the Trump states will suffer the most under a warming world:

There are a few takeaway messages. First, the color scale is not symmetric – that is the orange and red values represent pretty large economic losses whereas the green values are notably smaller economic benefits. Secondly, there are more regions that will lose than there are that will win. When interpreting an image like this, we have to be cognizant of the fact that more people live in the Southeast than in the central west.

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Heatwaves Deaths Projected To Increase 5400%, Coastal Floods 3780%, Wildfires 138%, River Floods 54%, Windstorms 20%

You need to dig a little (read) to find this nugget in this article:

Deaths from heatwaves were projected to increase by 5,400 percent, coastal foods by 3,780 percent, wildfires by 138 percent, river floods by 54 percent and windstorms by 20 percent.  European heatwave deaths could skyrocket: climate study

Heatwaves are expected to do the worst damage, jumping from 11 people per million currently to about 700 per million.

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More Scientific Inaccuracies (and deceptions)

There’s been a “rebuttal” of sorts to the recent “Uninhabited Earth” article published by the New York Magazine.

Scientists explain what New York Magazine article on “The Uninhabitable Earth” gets wrong

I read through this collection of comments and the stunning denial of reality was atypical – of the general public, but scientists? Seriously? Clearly, they’re responding exactly like the general public does, reactionary, cherry-picking and denying their own previously published comments. What does this mean? Hard to say, I’d like to see where these reviewers get (all) their paychecks from. Especially now that the Trump Administration has basically ordered that the topic of climate change to be taboo.

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More Scientific Inaccuracies

A truly terrible and inaccurate paper has been presented on Real Climate (a site that I abandon some time back because of their collective failure to deal with reality). Titled “Why global emissions must peak by 2020“, scientists Stefan Rahmstorf and Anders Levermann pretend that by offering lies and deceptions, everything is going to be ok.

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Is This The Start of Runaway Global Warming?

This is an essay by William P Hall, President, Kororoit Institute, Evolutionary Biology of Species and Organisms.

The observations show a growing risk to human society from runaway global warming, and they beg explanation.

This essay focuses on observations of what appears to be the start of runaway warming in the Arctic that may have profound effects on global climates over the next few years; and a plausible cause – the warming driven release of methane gas from permafrost forming a strong greenhouse cap over the Arctic Ocean.

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