The climate crisis affecting human survival on Earth is still accelerating in the wrong direction. Increasingly strident warnings are now being issued by climate scientists that the world is facing a crisis of unprecedented proportions and risk. Unfortunately, they are continuing to be ignored on the scale and scope of what will be necessary for effective human response – nothing less then a World War II scale of effort, mobilized across the entire world is required. But the evidence is already clear – the world lacks the political and industrial leadership to change course. It is very much an unknown when – or even if – this will ever change.
In the meanwhile, individuals, families, businesses and corporations will need to prepare themselves for climate collapse, because nobody else is going to do this for you. This is the most dramatic threat facing mankind today. Our very survival is at stake, and even the survival of the living biosphere. Projections are always being updated with some projections now indicating 16C or more in temperature increase. Those are not survivable temperatures – for anything alive. Because of this, and the increasing amount of scientific knowledge and research continuing to accumulate, there is evidence that indicates we may not survive climate collapse at all. But for those who choose to act decisively and to take self-responsibility for their own future, here are some things to consider.
What Climate Collapse Really Means
Climate collapse means that our predictable, stable climate has changed for the worse. The normal patterns of rainfall, snow, rainy seasons and dry seasons are no longer predictable. Instead, it means that extreme weather events are now the new normal. This would include hurricanes, cyclones, tornadoes, wind-events, lightning, thunderstorms, hail, extreme snowfall, extreme rain events, extensive droughts, mega-fires, dying forests, heat waves, insect infestations, disease vectors and rapidly shifting temperature extremes. While Earth has always recorded such things, the patterns which we have become accustomed to, and the severity and frequency of these weather events has changed quite dramatically. There will be more of these extreme events – and they will be worse then what humans have ever experienced in their entire history.
This will have a huge impact upon existing infrastructure, economic activity, agriculture, food production and human activity. The warming climate is a reflection of the warming oceans which is changing the world’s climate faster and faster as the glaciers and polar ice caps continue to melt. There are also other serious considerations such as the permafrost melt, methane releases (Risk of Significant Methane Release From East Siberian Arctic Shelf Still Growing) and carbon releases now occurring in the world’s forests. No longer the “carbon sinks” we’ve long enjoyed as a species, these components of the Earths surface are now releasing carbon which along with continued human emissions, is helping to increase Earth’s temperature over land and in the oceans by trapping more heat from the Sun.
Individually, any single one of these occurrences would have a huge impact over time on human habitation and survival, but taken altogether as we now must, they are so gigantic and so serious that our very survival as a species is now questionable in the years ahead.
The primary reason survival becomes so questionable is not heat as widely assumed – humans can adapt to temperature extremes in various ways, by going underground, by utilizing air conditioning, by sheltering during the day and so forth. Humans can live in a far range of temperature extremes – as long as they have the resources to do so (energy, insulation from hot or cold, food). However, it is the latter point which now becomes the ‘trigger’ for future human habitability. Food production is expected to decline dramatically as temperatures and extreme weather events escalate, impacting global food production.Continue reading »
Once the Blob goes down there’s nothing to keep what are likely to be some seriously epic storms slamming into the west coast of North America this Fall and Winter. But according to recent science, there’s a high risk that the Blob will creep on back as the Godzilla El Nino retreats during mid to late 2016. And for the West Coast that means high risk of a pretty vicious cycle of drought to flood to drought. A dangerous weather pattern intrinsically related to human-forced climate change.
The New Normal
I have long argued that weather extremes are the new normal. Increased temperatures means increased evaporation and the “normal” hydrological cycle is severely disrupted. All that evaporation will come down somewhere. It just hasn’t bothered to drench the West Coast – yet. But it’s now looking like it certainly will and when it does, terms like “epic” will be often used.
I’ve also long argued that the ‘prepper’ community of survivalists, end-timers, conservatives and even Republicans are all preparing for the wrong things. Virtually none of what they’ve claimed to ‘expect’ has happened. Connedspiracy theory has replaced common sense – and even acceptance of reality as paranoia, fear, superstition and widespread ignorance grips the minds of millions. We’ve entered into a new Dark Age of idiocy with this group taking first place among the walking dead.
This is the group that denies climate change for the most part and they’ve been consistently 100% wrong. Extreme weather events all around the world are now occurring. The California drought is just one of hundreds of events that have been unfolding worldwide. That’s about to change, but it will still be ‘extreme’. Even ‘biblical’ for some localities.
The growing refugee crisis in Africa and Europe is rooted in climate change. Millions of refugees are nowleaving their countries seeking lives elsewhere. Some are even coming here. America’s borders are as porous as a gill net, allowing millions of people to simply show up. Meanwhile, Americans are once again distracted by another fake (s)Election season, where pundits and politics clash together in a clown filled three-ring circus of arrogance and privilege. These people do not care about you, me or anyone else other then themselves, and it shows.
This is supposed to be ‘important’ as we get lied to again and again about who is going to do what and never, EVER is there any accountability on any of these would-be ‘leaders’. If there was, each and every single one of them would already be in jail. But the story lines and sound-bytes keep getting warped and twisted in a carefully scripted orchestration of white noise so that you, the viewer are as off-balanced as ever. Who do you ‘vote’ for? Who can you trust? Who will do what they claim?
Answer: none of them. It’s the same story, the same lies, the same distractions and none of it is as important as claimed.
America is a joke. American leadership is a joke. America’s candidates for leaders are a joke. America has become a cesspool of rampant violence, arrogance, privilege and wide-spread ignorance parading around in clown suits. There are still many people who are sincere, intelligent and trying, but they’re being overwhelmed by the incredible levels of stupidity and denial being widely embraced. Are we making any headway? I don’t really know. It seems to be getting worse depending on which websites you read or which channels you watch. Our media seems to be incredibly clueless about the damage that they are doing to the rest of us, programming minds to the masturbating levels of 12 year old’s. You can’t visit a website anywhere and not be subjected to ridiculous and inane distractions.
This is (in case you didn’t already know) the new “normal” for America and much of the world. Do not expect real news. Do not expect or even hope for real change. Do expect endless distractions and ridiculous levels of infotainment. Don’t expect things to change for the better because they can’t. Once again, we’re declining to a new plateau, where a temporary ‘stasis’ is achieved, until it all drops again.
What it means
That’s the new normal. On everything. Economy, jobs, industry, climate, environment, resources, immigration, war, disease. All of the elements that now make up our world are still headed down.
Our entire way of life has been to rape, pillage, destroy and pave over with our wizardry everything we could manage to conquer, including each other. This has resulted in the situation we now find ourselves as our climate spins out of control and the worlds resources have disappeared down our insatiable appetites. It can’t possibly last forever and we need to finally wake up to this fact. It’s time to drop our illusions. And our pretenses and our self-modeling lies of deceit that we’re any different then any other nation that has stupidly run off a cliff.
The only reason most of us are still here is because the plundering continues. Which it will until it can’t. All hope is now lost. We are not going to stop. Americans will devour each other as the government also now tries to devour us. It’s simple a pie to realize ‘what comes next’. And it’s all happening because America refuses to wake up and do anything about what we’ve become. The growing crowd violence is part of it, but it’s not the whole story. The entire country requires adjustment and adaption to changes taking place worldwide. But America refuses to change. And so we will devolve into war. Right here – and of course, elsewhere too (again).
Violence isn’t going to solve anything. Not when the root causes aren’t going to respond to violence in any way. You can’t use violence to solve a cultural crisis. Or a resource crisis. Or a climate crisis. Or an environmental crisis. All of which are happening now. But humans usually react very badly when threatened, laying blame where it doesn’t actually belong. The real crisis of civilization itself is unfolding, exacerbating the climate / environmental / resource crisis. We crafted a unsustainable, unjust cultural in the process of building up our civilization, based upon privilege (greed) and ‘ownership’ (control) of the world’s resources. And entire elite class of super-rich and the far, far larger class of impoverished. Overpopulation helped immensely towards this crisis of civilization too, with most, if not all nations, refusing to address this in time.
This is all the new normal. Injustice, war, violence, chaotic climate, impoverishment, competition for remaining resources and rampant denial, blame everything but the real reasons we’re in decline. Ignore the problems, pretend that they don’t exist, refuse responsibility and react with fear, superstitious, ignorance and greed.
I find the new normal pretty disgusting. It’s been growing in size, severity, impact and scope since I was born, but in truth, it’s the only “normal” I’ve even known or lived. The reset button many of us long for does not exist. It’s a fantasy as much as anything else is these days. There is no going back now. We can’t stop and “get it right this time” because it’s too late now for that. The injustices we’ve encouraged can’t be undone. The missing ice can’t be replaced. The racism, hatred, xenophobia, and stupidstitions are now so deeply embedded in multiple generations that it will be impossible to eradicate. That’s the new normal. The growing fear, paranoia, distrust, anger, hatred and violence that humans are doing to other humans.
It’s not a world I much like. I do not allow this in my own family, but I recognize that it is all around me. There is scant little I can do about any of it – except keep issuing these blog posts, keep trying to wake people up to what lies ahead, keep sharing what is occurring right now. I’m avoiding ‘stupid’ like the plague, which is why I don’t even publish a phone number anymore. Of the thousands of calls I’ve taken in the past, a large percentage of them was having to deal with asinine connedspiracies and superstitious claims – none of which ever came true (not a single one). I’m a busy person and time is something I spend carefully. But wasting time entertaining idiots is not part of life well spent.
As I’ve said – people have been preparing for the wrong things for years and years and I’ve been at this longer then most now. Far too many ‘preppers’ still don’t get it because they keep falling for the lies being promoted, just like the ‘voting’ American public. They refuse to wake up to reality and make the necessary effort to discard false beliefs.
I’ll end this post with some older blog links – just as valid today as when I wrote them years ago. I made many of these same points back then:
If you’ve been waiting for the Blood Moon, Shemitah, God’s Judgement, the September Surprise, or whatever ‘filter’ you routinely apply to unfolding world events, keep waiting. Nothing is going to happen. It’s glaringly obvious that the ‘grand delusion’ is landing dab smack square on the profit [sic] crowd.
But if you’re one of the rare few who is grounded in reality, there are an increasing number of severe ecological and environmental events now occurring well worth paying attention to and why being prepared for real events still makes sense.
They’re still trying to get a handle on what this means, but scientists are expecting the Arctic to stop absorbing carbon (altogether) and start releasing carbon within 20 – 30 years, with “the permafrost to release 120 gigatons of carbon into the atmosphere” by 2100 (uh, that’s not survivable folks, it’s spelled f.o.o.d. and there won’t be any of it).
However – there is also this dubious ‘nugget’ – at this rate (graph above), the permafrost “would go above zero degrees C (i.e., melting) at a depth of about 20 meters in 2045.”
If that estimate proves to be true, or even anything close to it, that is a LOT sooner then some of these other projections. 20 meters (65+ feet) of liquefied permafrost represents gigatons of carbon being released into the atmosphere in just a few years from now. Which has already begun.
I’ve long been wondering exactly “which” tipping point is going to finally do us all in, because it’s pretty clear that we’ve already passed several while the world dithers and the rapture ready rubes still hope their escape plan will work. Rest assured – nobody is getting out of here, we are all going to have to face what is coming.
Uh oh – could it be that once again, the expectations of the world’s best minds are still behind the curve on exactly how fast we’re going to see some truly catastrophic events unfold within the world’s environment? Sure doesn’t seem like nature likes our ‘timetable’ or agrees with the conservative predictions.
Is there are over-reliance upon the models – and too little observations taking place? (yes). But it won’t be the models that matter in the end…
I’m sitting here day after day, night after night in choking smoke wondering exactly how much the burning forests (It’s Global Warming Stupid) are adding to the atmospheric loading of carbon. Some no doubt, not enough to truly accelerate things but it is already a given certainty that the world cannot release any more carbon into the atmosphere. Which we all do, every – single – day, being unable (and unwilling) to do anything else.
Arctic Emergency – Scientist Speak on Thawing Ice & Global Impacts – (must watch)
Natalia Shakhova – The sediment in the East Siberian shelf is up to 20 kilometers thick… 2,000,000 square kilometers in size. And it’s warming up, releasing methane.
I’ve zero interest in selling food to people who are reacting in fear. I think a ton of people are taking advantage of other people. It’s going to be mighty interesting to watch these charlatans unveil themselves as they get everything wrong, wrong, wrong. So for some humor, watch this for a little ‘reality’. Be sure to watch at minute 11:00 and beyond. The scams being pulled by these religious hucksters is unbelievable.
This dude is a certifiable crazy nutter. He’s promoting long disproven claims that keep making the rounds in the nutter / connedspiracy circles. He’s not even bothered to fact check anything. If you watch any of his other videos, he’s clearly one of the nutters, although only one video was enough to prove this point.
The comments that follow this particular video post are just as entertaining as the video itself is. There are a lot of grossly uninformed, paranoid and delusional people who will simply believe anything that they read or hear. As I’ve been saying, it’s gotten so bad it’s time to speak up and say something about this crazy connedspiracy fear that keeps escalating higher and higher in this country.
And here’s the kicker… this dude is a candidate for Vice President of the United States alongside Arizona E. Harting.
This is ‘climate change in action’. Dry conditions and years-long droughts are causing huge eco-system damages. And it’s not just in the forests either, I read just the other day where millions of fish in Alaskan rivers are dying now (the water is too hot).
Humans can try and cool down by using their air-conditioners and stay out of the sun. Not so for fish and wildlife, which are finding their environment totally destroyed as far as habitability is concerned. It’s the same for the plant life, they can’t do anything at all about dry conditions or temperatures getting too hot except wither and die.
We’re next. Once they’re all dead and gone, that means our food crops will be too, and then starvation will become a huge problem for humans.
The fires in the area are making the air quality really poor. Evacuation orders have been given to friends of mine, everyone is watching nervously. Sadly, several firefighter have now been killed as fires with strong winds have overtaken their positions.
Gina from Australia sent me this list of preparations. After the terrifying fires of 2003, Australians are very familiar with the risks and what to do if fires come near.
She’s also mentioned this:
Good Luck with the fires – have you ever heard of ‘ThermoGel’? From memory it was originally developed in the US to help combat bushfires in California. It can be sprayed on hours before the fire goes through and will at least save the buildings.
In numerous posts on this blog, such asMore Spew From Connedspiracy IdiotsandMorons Unite!, I’ve made the argument that the escalating ‘climate of fear‘ being incubated today in America and within the so-called ‘survivalist’ movement is a deliberate campaign designed to take advantage of people and liberate them from their money.
This campaign is being systematically produced by opportunistic people with a clear agenda disguised as patriotism, survivalism and end-time fantasy. Using a gross misunderstanding of facts, conjecture and straw arguments to foster a climate of fear, slick presentations are routinely generating higher and higher levels of fear in the American people. Their product is the manufacturing of a rather large set of “connedspiracies” all designed to produce lucrative revenue streams for their developers and advertisers.
I’ve coined the term connedspiracies (the first I think) years ago to identify and label this growing group of hucksters and profiteers that are busy manufacturing endless waves of conjecture and how they ‘sell’ their claims to audiences and fans with the sole intent to create more fear and more profits. In other words, it’s always been about money – and not about the truth or freedom or liberty or information exchange or any other thing no matter how they’ve tried to disguise it. It’s a conspiracy of conspirators who are weekly ‘engaged’ in drumming up more fear while ignoring the real issues affecting us all.
They also use the tactic of denying some of the real issues occurring and to denigrate those that have identified them. They’ve even mounted a campaign to attack those that are trying to reason with them and share important issues and concerns. Their goal: Retain a dedicated audience (increasing revenue); sell products that you’re ‘suppose to have’; increase advertising (worth hundreds of millions per year); refuse any changes that would impact their lifestyles (business as usual). The entire ‘survival movement’ has now been co-opted by these hucksters and I’m ashamed to be considered a part of it (I’m not).
Many of the ideas and fears they’ve promoted are found within the community loosely called ‘survivalists’. I’m supposed to be one these myself because I ‘belong’ to the community of survivalists and have been helping people prepare for several decades now. But I’m not a member – because long ago I gained the understanding that survivalism was not worth pursuing anymore, especially with what survivalism has become today. Survivalism has come to mean many things that I intensely dislike, including conjecture, denial, conspiracy and end time fantasies that have no basis in reality.
But according to some, I’m supposed to believe in those other things too, by virtue of my involvement, my many publications and my long-standing efforts with this community and even because of the name of the business that I run. But I don’t believe in many of them, because they are inaccurate claims and assessments (leading to ‘conspiracy theory’), many that I’ve noted in the links above. Some of these claims and conjectures are just flat-out wrong and were created by utter idiots. Therefore, I wrote the following articles to try and lay the groundwork of what is actually true and what is not: End Time Fantasies of the Religious Right, and Denying the Deniers – Village Idiots Take Note. There are many more on this blog.
Not all conspiracies are fraudulent, but many which are being too-widely embraced are.
This blog has never been about survivalism, which I continue to view as a misguided ‘idea’ that does nothing to actually help solve anything. Everyone has seem to have forgotten what true ‘survivalism’ really was, but it’s most certainly not what it has morphed into today. It’s been taken over by big business and bottom lines, pumping out an endless array of propaganda, products and fear through the mouths of talking fools. There’s a billion dollars or more at stake and the competition is fierce. And it’s all a load of bull-puckey.
Today’s ‘survivalist’ is concerned about the future and what it’s going to mean, but it’s not a future that has anything to do with true survivalism nor is even much of it based upon reality. Today’s ‘survivalist’ has a closet full of guns and ammo, a 4×4 truck loaded up with a bug-out bag and freeze dried food, extra gas cans, sleeping bags and a shit-ton of ‘essential gear’ crammed into every nook and cranny and walkie-talkies to stay in touch with his overweight ‘buddies’. There’s even a map for the rendezvous area taped to the visor where they’re all planning on ‘making a stand’ (against everyone else).
Our hero is getting ready to run. The (still) dominant paradigm in the survivalist / end-timer / prepper movement is to disappear off into never-ever land where ‘survival’ and ‘making a stand’ will somehow be ‘an answer’ to whatever is going wrong within society. I call these people ‘self-made refugees’ and have long pointed out the fallacies of this sort of thinking. If you’ve never read Survival Acres Blog – What Is It?, you should because I’ve gone into detail what is wrong there too.
There are others within the survival movement that won’t choose to ‘bug-out‘ – they’re staying put and guarding the fort. They’re even better prepared (some of them), rivaling even the equipment issued to military troops. They’re preparing for the ‘end’ too, because when it all falls apart, the plan is to defend it to the last can of beans.
Defense (and even attack) plays a huge role in today’s ‘survivalism’ meme, probably far, far larger then some people even realize. This component of the modern day survivalist movement is absolutely huge, taking up 50% and more of the survivalist budget, time, training and efforts now being expended. The massive jump in gun sales has skyrocketed with many of these going to survivalists. I’ve been to the gun shows, seen what the preparations are and understand the reasoning behind it. But this isn’t survivalism, this is a country’s citizens preparing for war. Yet many label themselves survivalists. It’s not hard at all to understand what this means – they’re planning on killing a lot of people. In ‘defense’ of course.
I’ve a big problem with this sort of preparation because it is ill-advised and wrong-headed. It completely fails to prepare for what actually IS coming our way. And it’s not the Rapture, the End Time or Satan himself which is going to show up and cart you all off into cattle cars. The Jade Helm military exercise will not result in martial law this summer. They’re not going to start rounding up political dissidents, gun owners, Christians, home schoolers or any such thing. This is a load of bullshit pumped out by utter idiots. If any of you have been ‘preparing’ for any of these, you’ve wasted your time and your situational awareness royally sucks. You’ve fallen for the propaganda that has long worked against ‘preppers’.Continue reading »
I find it hard to believe that such idiocy has risen to a position of candidacy for the office of the President of the United States (impro-‘bable’ as it may be). But we’ve seen it before in Bush, Reagan and quite a few Cabinet members. There is also the Senate and Congress where the religious fervor to destroy the world and usher in the Second Coming is a heartfelt desire by these deluded idiots.
The Holocaust the article’s author refers to is nuclear war, a terrifying possibility that is all too real. Any world development that leads the world to nuclear Armageddon is desirable and ‘good’ by these followers of ‘End Time’ prophecies, despite the catastrophic levels of suffering this would entail on the rest of humanity. I’m quite familiar with this branch of religious indoctrination, it stems from the rapidly growing evangelical endorsement of End Time events.
The summer fire season is well underway, with over 1000 fires in the western U.S., Canada and Alaska charring thousands and thousands of acres. The dry soils, lack of rain and tinder-box conditions of drought-plagued forest have created a firestorm of ‘opportunity to burn’, dumping ash and millions of tons of carbon into the world’s atmosphere.
And that’s just ‘here’ – the situation is just as bad in many parts of the world. Siberia continues to burn right down to the permafrost with hundreds of fires, exposing soils frozen for thousands of years to heat and and sunlight releasing huge amounts of carbon into the atmosphere. The warm waters of the Pacific Northwest are so hot that fish are being ‘cooked alive’, which is inaccurate, but still they’re dying by the millions. The temperatures are unsurvivable and the fish are simply dying before they can spawn. It was similar ‘death’ conditions for humans in Iraq, with a felt temperature of a whopping 165 degrees.
While the world wept over ‘Cecil the Lion’, they keep on ignoring the global species extinctions taking place faster and faster. The hypocrisy of the global outcry over one lion was not lost on me. It’s as if one lion mattered more then everything else. He’s just one of thousands upon thousands of African animals being wiped out by poaching, hunting, habitat destruction and climate change.
A 17 second video showing what’s happening during the summer heat shift, from 1958 to now. Worth watching several times:
This summer (2015) has seen a huge shift in summer temperatures. Madrid, Spain broke summer temperature records in June and July, Germany did too, England, Netherlands, Japan, Hong Kong, Egypt and Washington state (and many more, I’m not going to bother trying to list them all, just know, “it’s too damned hot”).
During the period from 1951-1980, extremely hot summers covered just 1% of the Earth’s surface, but this had risen to 10% by 1981-2010, and higher still during the years between 2006 and 2010.
This is what we’re (all) going to get – and keep in mind, current temperature projections ahead are actually far higher then this:
Thousands of people in Japan have been hospitalized (over 45,000) from the intense heat, averaging over 10,000 hospitalization per week now. Los Angeles is expected to hit triple-digits later this week.
On the other end of the spectrum, Chile and Pakistan suffered through extreme rain events with hundreds dead. Flash floods in Arizona rolled gigantic truck-sized boulders across Highway 89A.
Too bad a few of these rocks didn’t land on the climate denier crowd still smoking their oil-saturated hopium filled pipes of fantasy future, we could use the space.
Every day there are dozens to hundreds of climate-related disasters being reported around the world. Increased temperatures increase evaporation rates, speeding up the hydrological cycle worldwide. All that atmospheric moisture will come down somewhere, and now with a stalled Jet Stream, with devastating results.
Nice documentary on Greenland and how all the extra heat is going to melt the remaining ice and raise sea levels:
Humanity is not ready for this. Not even slightly. Over one billion people will be displaced by rising seas alone. The search for unpolluted fresh water will see hundreds of millions displaced. The refugee crisis will be the largest in human history. It’s beginning right now.
Some years back, I blogged often about “die-off”, the population decline that would follow the collapse of civilization. While this is still true, the environmental die-off is already happening. A “dead Earth” is the prediction of some thinkers who are projecting the extinction of every living thing. Up to 7% of the world’s species are already now extinct. While this number may not seem very high to us “higher mammals” who continue to rapidly expand our numbers, it’s over 130,000 species in just a few years.
It’s well known now that we expect to lose virtually all of the fish in the world’s oceans by 2050. We’ve rapidly consumed our way down the food chain, consuming everything possible in our quest for calories and sustenance. Net catches that were once loaded with vibrant loads of healthy fish are now coming up empty, or with so few tiny fish that the calories expended by village fisherman nearly exceed the calories caught. Foreign trawlers are often to blame, illegally encroaching fishing areas near land, using gigantic nets and literally scraping the ocean clean of all life. The undersea ‘tracks’ left behind by these trawlers can be seen here.
One of my children has decided to not have kids. Contributing to the human over-population problem is a decision every young person needs to make. I’m afraid however, that even this won’t help much.
In this paper (important read), the authors point out the obvious – the Earth’s battery is running low. Humans have extracted far too much energy from the biosphere, collapsing ecosystems and draining the Earth’s resources (full research paper here).
The earth is in serious energetic imbalance due to human energy use. This imbalance defines our most dominant conflict with nature. It really is a conflict in the sense that
the current energy imbalance, a crisis unprecedented in Earth history, is a direct consequence of technological innovation. The detrimental effects of discharging the organic chemical energy stored in the battery extend far beyond the depletion of stored living phytomass and fossil fuel energy.
Nice summary of how stupid humans have been. Ruining an entire planet for the fleeting pleasures of convenience.
What can we do about it? Here’s the long version:
First, there is no reason to expect a different trajectory in the near future. Something like the present level of biomass energy destruction will be required to sustain the present global population with its fossil fuel subsidized food production and economy. Second, as the earth space battery is being discharged ever faster (Fig. 3) to support an ever larger population, the capacity to buffer changes will diminish and the remaining energy gradients will experience increasing perturbations. As more people depend on fewer available energy options, their standard of living and very survival will become increasingly vulnerable to fluctuations, such as droughts, disease epidemics, social unrest, and warfare. Third, there is considerable uncertainty in how the biosphere will function as Ω decreases from the present Ω = Ω 1,029 y into an uncharted thermodynamic operating region. The global biosphere, human population, and economy will obviously crash long before Ω = 1y.
If H. sapiens does not go extinct, the human population will decline drastically as we will be forced to return to making a living as hunter-gatherers or simple horticulturalists.
We’re not going to be able to continue this civilization at all.