I have been wondering greatly about one of the ‘fatal flaws’ I identified in the ecovillage concept. Under a crash scenario, there would be a great number of very hungry and desperate people. The ‘village becomes an easily identifiable target for hungry hordes, who could quickly and easily lay waste to a village. No village that I am aware of is making adequate defense plans for such a contigency.
However, what if such a ‘defense plan’ could be negated and simply not needed, even if a collapse did occur? Is that even possible?
Well, maybe. Apparently, I’m not the only one that has considered this.
This discovery scared the hell out of me. ???Ground zero??? of the preparations movement is actively refusing to address the most immediate problem we face. This approach is sowing the seeds of community violence, and creating a magnet for external violence.
“Sowing the seeds of violence” means having something to eat, while others do not. That is a sure fired recipe for disaster.
If a new economic model was built to facilitate the transition from forced downsizing to labor-intensive sustainability, it’s just possible, at least theoretically speaking, to avoid that rather horrifying ugliness that will come with collapse. In other words, put people to work.
Failure to do so will brew the “recipe for civil conflict”. I agree. How could it possibly be otherwise?
Without a functioning local market, a physical infrastructure of organic farms, neighborhoods of backyard organic gardens, and the means to create and use hand tools, become magnets for the ruthless. If a particular community has what someone needs, but gives him no way of obtaining it other than murder and theft, then that???s what he will do if he is desperate enough.
Ignoring economic issues as they relate to collapse preparations sows the seeds of community violence, both from within and from without. A community that sinks its energies into preparing for what comes after collapse, without considering the 15-20 or more years of economic hardship between now and the time when hand tools become necessary, is essentially committing suicide.
That pretty much nails it right on the head for me, with this being the primary reason I gave up on the ecovillage idea. You might as well just paint a big bullseye on yourself. The village won’t last that hasn’t made adequate preparations for collapse, which includes having a viable plan to deal with hungry hordes. What are you going to do with them? Feed them? For how long? And when the food runs out? Then what? Do you presume that they’ll just “go away” or will they turn against you, thinking you’re holding out on them?
Desperate people do desperate things. Failing to plan for the vagaries of irrational behavior will result in disaster.
Ironically, the general proposal for a new economic model has this to say also:
The general consensus among the Left seems to be that the collapse of industrial civilization is ultimately a good thing, because it means the collapse of capitalism.
That won’t happen. One market will simply (or violently) replace the other and the process of “advantage” will continue as always. Capitalism will continue and be called something else. Like slave labor. Or maybe “work to eat”. I don’t know.
At some point, trade will recommence, or continue in some form or another, as it must. That we can be certain of.
What is still very uncertain, is how a local economy is going to really do much good if the population is either agitated or mobile. No local economy can sustain an influx of large numbers of people very long, they will quickly overwhelm the capacity of the existing systems (and food supply of course). Keeping people stationary (and at peace) then becomes mandatory. I suspect that new laws will be passed to make sure this happens. Relocation will then become a governed event, with permission slips, RFID tags and maybe even chip implants. Who knows? But allowing people to simply migrate will destroy the local economies which will be struggling to survive.
It then follows that martial law will be imposed to enforce this, among other ‘things’, such as rounding up the undesirable types. Some people view this as unlikely, since during crash, precious resources won’t be ‘squandered’ on such things, but thats also assuming that common sense will prevail, something already in noticebly short supply.
So I think “herd control” will be pretty much a certainty in our future, probably implemented on multiple levels. The village will need to ensure something along these lines to keep from being overrun. The other entities, if they manage to continue to exist, will also benefit from keep people in check.
This then means if you haven’t yet relocated to your perceived “safe zone”, don’t presume you’ll always be allowed to. By the time you get there, if at all, you may already find it guarded by a beatnik with a hairdo and mean old dog. Or you’ll be drafted into a ‘civilian labor camp‘ by the goons while trying to get there.