Jan 242017


What We Know About Climate Change: Professor Kerry Emanuel – The basic causes of climate change (orbital and chemical), the history of understanding climate change, likely temperature scenarios, the effect of clouds and other uncertainties.
Climate Change as a Perfect Storm: Prof Alden Griffith – video showing human caused, projections
Jennifer Francis: A New Arctic Feedback
Why People Don’t Believe In Climate Science
No Carbon Budget
Future Sea Level Rise

Recent Ocean Warming has been underestimated – NOAA’s data adjustments

LINKS (articles)

Bill Nye on climate deniers: Academics For Hire Exposed – Academics-for-hire agree not to disclose fossil fuel funding
NASA 97% Scientific Consensus Warming Is Human Caused – Multiple sources cited.
The 97 Percent Scientific Consensus on Climate Change Is Wrong—It’s Even Higher
Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming
NASA study sheds new insights into global warming trends – no hiatus, missing heat into oceans, still warming up
Factcheck: Mail on Sunday’s ‘astonishing evidence’ about global temperature rise – Setting the real record straight on NOAA’s ‘data adjustments’
New analysis shows Lamar Smith’s accusations on climate data are wrong
Did NOAA Scientists Manipulate Climate Change Data? – Nope, just more b.s. from the connedspiracy crowd.
Did the Daily Mail Accurately Report Climate Data Manipulation? – Horribly poor journalism tries to deceive illiterate readers.
Dr. Bates Interoffice Spat Backfires – The real story on Dr. Bates and his “bad blood” retaliation against NOAA.
300 Scientists Tell Trump to Leave UN Climate Agreement – Almost none were climate scientists, expose on the “300” fraud.

REPORTS (science, research, analysis)

Daily CO2 – Daily C02 readings
Arctic Temperatures Daily Mean Temperatures – Current analysis and conditions in the Arctic
‘Beyond the extreme’: Scientists marvel at ‘increasingly non-natural’ Arctic warmth
Skeptical Science, with victim, method, motive, and the “smoking gun” that places CO2 at the scene of the crime
Human domination of the biosphere: Rapid discharge of the earth-space battery foretells the future of humankind (alternate link)
Co2 levels in the past, the current rate of increase, and likely future temperatures
Quantifying global soil carbon losses in response to warming Soils emitting massive levels of carbon into the atmosphere
Abrupt Climate Change: there’s strength in the science – Rapid climate change, escalating warming
Can We Turn Back the Deserts In an Age of Climate Change?
MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change – 7 Focus Areas
More Carbon Negatively Affects Food Nutrition & Crop Yields
8 Things You Didn’t Know About Climate Change
Implications for US National Security of Anticipated Climate Change – Office of the Director of National Security
Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States – NOAA Technical Report, January 2017
Canadian Glaciers Now Major Contributer To Sea Level Rise
Ocean oxygen levels drop 2% in 50 years, Nature study finds

ARGUMENTS (links to relevant commentary and arguments on climate change)

Volcanic eruption in 1815 – small changes in climate have disastrous global result – Result was massive crop failures, food shortages and famine, 50% increase in mortality.
The “Wind and Solar Will Save Us” Delusion
The Incredible Shrinking Nuclear Offset to Climate Change – The high likelihood that nuclear energy will only play a tiny role in offsetting climate change.
Global geoengineering rulebook could be ready by 2020s – Minimum of 3C is still expected, geoengineering may be the only hope left.

  17 Responses to “Topic: Videos, Links, Reports, Arguments – Climate Change”


    “Human Domination of the Biosphere” by Schmaski, Gattie and Brown.


    Top of the collapse literature food chain, I’d say.


    This covers almost everything -the basic causes of climate change (orbital and chemical), the history of understanding climate change, likely temperature scenarios, the effect of clouds and other uncertainties.



    As we know, daily CO2 bounces around a lot, depending on how much gets absorbed by the oceans. Nevertheless, it is interesting to keep an eye on it.

    Daily CO2
    January 24, 2017:  407.69 ppm
    January 24, 2016:  403.45 ppm



    Skeptical Science argument as a detective story, with victim, method, motive, and the “smoking gun” that places CO2 at the scene of the crime:



    Arctic Temperatures
    Daily Mean Temperatures North of 80 degree North:



    A current article which details Co2 levels in the past, the current rate of increase, and likely temperatures to be experienced in the future as a consequence of further emissions.


    And the latest daily CO2 update highlights the dire upward trend in atmospheric CO2.

    Daily CO2
    January 25, 2017:  407.29 ppm
    January 25, 2016:  404.08 ppm



    Arctic Sea Ice Extent – think of it as an hourglass. Once it’s gone, time is up!


    ….’In his latest analysis, though, Nordhaus comes to a very different conclusion. Using a more accurate treatment of how carbon dioxide may affect temperatures, and how remaining uncertainties affect the likely economic outcomes, he finds that our current response to global warming is probably inadequate to prevent temperatures from rising more than 2 degrees Celsius above their pre-industrial levels, a stated goal of the Paris accords.

    Worse, the analysis suggests that the required carbon-dioxide reductions are beyond what’s politically possible. For all the talk of curbing climate change, most nations remain on a business-as-usual trajectory. Meanwhile, further economic growth will drive even greater carbon emissions over coming decades, particularly in developing nations.

    Nordhaus deserves credit for changing his mind as the results of his analyses have changed, and for focusing on the implications of current policies rather than making rosy assumptions about the ability of new technologies to achieve emission reductions in the future. Many other analyses — including those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — don’t demand such realism.

    Nonetheless, the shift in his assessment is stark. For two decades, the advice has been to do a little but mostly hold off. Now, suddenly, the message is that it’s too late, that we should have been doing a lot more and there’s almost no way to avoid disaster.’…..



    Guess pre-industrial humans don’t get a free pass on being part of the problem:

    “After the last ice age ended, carbon dioxide and methane levels in the atmosphere should have dropped to about 245 parts per million (ppm) and 445 parts per billion (ppb) without human influence on the planet, He said. (Parts per million denotes the volume of a gas in the air; in this case, of every 1 million air molecules, 245 are carbon dioxide.)

    Instead, the models suggest that carbon dioxide rose about 40 ppm, to 285 ppm, and methane jumped to 790 ppb, a 345 ppb rise, as early humans chopped down trees and irrigated rice fields.”


    To Admin: Will you be doing any more commentary?


      No. I’ve no intentions of adding commentary. There is almost nobody here now, everybody that did not participate has been removed. My ‘experiment’ demonstrated what I expected.


      280 ppm was not an exceptionally high peak coming out of an ice age, if this graph is correct.


      One has to wonder whether there is a political agenda to downplay the massive increase in atmospheric CO2 that has occurred since the Industrial Revolution.

      Interestingly, there has been some leveling-off of the rate of increase in atmospheric CO2 in recent weeks. Whether it will continue is anyone’s guess. For me, May to June of 2017 remains the most interesting period with respect o atmospheric CO2, and to some extent the Arctic ice cover.

      For whatever reason, we are not having a normal summer here. What would normally be the height of summer is characterized by persistent wind, occasional warm and sunny days, and a lot of cool and wet days. On the other side of NZ it is bone dry. We have rainfall anomalies ranging from 10% to 200%. At the moment it’s raining. Better that than drought.



        Interesting minds think alike. I’ve been thinking about this myself of late. There seems to be a real agenda in this country to keep the populace as dumb as possible.

        I shoveled snow for five hours and can hardly move now. Most of the roofs here were in jeopardy with snow buildup. Got ‘er done. Now I’m thinking about how to rebuild where you’d never have to worry about any amounts of snow.


    In the 1960s, when carbon dioxide was at only 320 ppm, the Arctic ice sheet had already become destabilized:

    Climate Change: Beyond the Tipping Point


    “If 320 ppm million was enough to melt the Arctic, how will getting back to 350 ppm do anything, especially if the Arctic ice cap no longer reflects sunlight during the summer months?”


      McKibben’s 350.org has been widely criticized (here and elsewhere) as being too high. Since humans mastered fire, we’ve been slowly elevating the C02 levels.