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This issue will deal with a synopsis of world-wide events and circumstances now taking place and some pointers on how to best be prepared for them.
Things To Know
Climate Change: It’s real, it’s happening everywhere on the planet and it will affect you and your future. Pay attention to the daily developments, or at least weekly or even monthly, as new results keep coming in all the time.
Also read Mobilizing To Save Civilization by Lester Brown. There is a LOT of information and this is something you can share with someone else. Forewarned is forearmed.
Science is (now) well aware that they are behind the curve on reporting the rapid changes occurring. The planet is still catching up to our impacts (climate feedback inertia) and it will be some time before all of the effects will be known (long past our lifetimes). However, we are now measuring impacts of such severity and speed that they will very much make themselves known in our lifetimes.
Our kids will face it even worse then we will. We already know that there will be 1000 years of feedback (at least). Therefore, it is important to keep abreast of the latest developments. This WILL affect you and every future generation of humans on Earth.
Environmental Collapse: Now occurring in stages all over the world, the collapse of the environment is very, very sad to see. Humans (and nothing else) are the root causes to these events, due to overexploitation and pollution. There is not a single region on the planet that remains unaffected by this. Sadly, most people seem to still be in deep denial, having never seen a pristine forest, or unpolluted stream or a healthy ocean. To them, this is “how things are”, but nothing could be further from the truth.
The future promises much more, all bad, all with long-term and devastating impacts for all life on Earth. Reversing this trend has been the goal of many organizations and efforts around the world, but carefuly documentation has shown that this is still a losing battle on a global scale.
I think it is of paramount importance to pay attention to these issues affecting the environment because if plants and animals cannot live here — neither can we. We are undeniably connected to the Earth and all things that live upon this planet. Our privileged position does not give us the right to destroy if for everything else, and eventually, even us.
Renewable Energy: This will be an area of unprecedented growth, however, renewable energy still only meets 10% of the nations energy consumption — and this is ALL forms of renewable energy combined. While driving to Seattle last week, the giant wind farm in the middle of Washington state sat completely idle, not one turbine in hundreds was turning. On the way back, it was the same.
All alternative energy sources require energy storage (batteries) or immediate consumption and usage, and all of them suffer from conversion losses. Many are only available at certains times of the day and must be supplemented by other energy sources. As such, they can never completely replace conventional energy production.
Peak Oil: Now here for all practical purpose, the world has reached peak production (output). Peak oil actually occurred in the 70’s, but due to the abundance of oil reserves, we’ve been gliding by ever since. No more, we are now on the downward side of oil discovery and reserves, having already consumed over half of the initial bestowment.
The United States will be particularly affected by this supply shortage, in part because we are so highly dependent on a global society (imports of everything from food to zebras) and because we import over 80% of our oil now. This will make peak price shock an ongoing event as oil prices climb higher and higher once again. We saw a temporary decline in fuel costs, but this was only because of the global economic downturn. As oil supplies continue to run out, prices will climb much higher then before.
Mexico’s Cantrell field will probably be the first major field to shut down, and also one of our major importers. This will happen in just a couple of years (2 – 4 years) from today.
Food Production: Global food production is undergoing serious changes. At times, we may see a bumper crop in some parts of the world, while other experience serious losses due to drought or salinization of the soil. Overall, we have just barely managed to increase our productive capacity.
We are at serious risk however on several fronts — increasing populations and food demand, climate change and global warming, drought, increased storms, hurricanes, typhoons, earlier springs, longer hotter summers and acquifer depletion. We are also dealing with a world wide problem of soil loss, deforestation, conversion of food products into fuel (biofuels), increasing demand for this ‘alternative energy’ and famine now affecting many countries who have almost completely lost their own ability to provide foodstuffs for their citizens.
Within 50 years, we are already being told that we must produce more food then the entire world’s history of mankind. This is an impossible ‘demand’, based upon statistical modeling, which does not take into account the sheer magnitude of resource depletion that this would require. In essence, this can never happen, despite the claims that it “must” happen, but it does exemplify the problems with future food production.
This means that starvation for many countries is now guaranteed. Famine will become commonplace more so in the future then in the past. Food security (see Food Security section below) will become absolutely critical for every nation on Earth as they attempt to deal with these devastating impacts.
Even worse, will be high prices. The United States is probably going to go through a period (which may last a very long time) of hyperinflation, driving the prices of essential goods like food sky high. In addition to this issue, energy shortages and fertilizer shortages (peak phosphorus is another hit we are now seeing) will excaberate this issue.
Water Supplies: The drying up of acquifiers all over the world is happening at breathtaking speed. Overdrilling and overdrawing these ancient water supplies has severely depleted fresh water supplies. The American Southwest is particularly vulnerable to these effects. The arid West was made possible for millions of people because of the exploitation of these acquifers, and the daming and rediverting of major rivers and streams. Now, due to climate change and overuse, water supplies are facing critical shortages. This is unlikely to change for the better and will result in rationing, food shortages, crop failures and water wars.
Fascism: Also real, happening in America at a breathtaking speed. Obama is at least as bad as Bush, if not worse. He’s continued the abominable Bush programs and enforced some of his own. Now looting the Treasury and the entire financial future for untold generations of Americans, Obama has personified the “wolf in sheeps clothing” and needs to be carefully watched.
The American police state continues to ramp up faster and faster with surveillance, data mining, identification requirements and other forms of intrusion. Protesters, reporters, journalists and activists of all stripes and flavors are still at risk of sudden arrest and prosecution. Obama has done nothing to protect our freedoms (lip service does not count) and has done much to ensure that we remain and occupied country with a non-accountable government.
New efforts to track and monitor everything you do are underway. This in increasing now on a daily basis and nothing is being done to stop it. The State is now seeking ways to turn citizen against citizen in a true Big Brother surveillance society.
Resource Wars: Wars over resources, particularily in the far North and in climate impacted countries will be on a dramatic increase. It is extremely unlikely that we will have finally learned to cooperate with our neighbors and other countries of the world as we watch our own resource supplies dry up and dwindle away. Resource wars will be the inevitable result.
Also affected will be war over things we have long taken for granted: water, land, topsoil, agricultural regions and climate refugees. Already millions are being affected by rising sea levels and up to 2 billion more are expected to be severely impacted by climate changes. Relocation of many people will require resettlement of ‘foreigners’ in new locations (which are all presently inhabited by someone else) and this will create a strong whiplash of anger and resentment.
Things To Do
You need to prepare for this future, immediately. All of the above points are factual and are happening right now, and will only worsen with time. Being personally prepared for these events is not some pie-in-the-sky doomsday prediction. You will be far better off to prepare as best you can now, while many opportunities, supplies and resources (including the critical resource of time) are still available to you.
I’ve already written an entire series on the things to do under “Future Prep” and “Collapse Survival On A Budget” on the blog (see the right hand margin for these entries), and once again, I’m going to suggest to all to read it. I know it’s not complete, but hey, this is a volunteer effort and I’m just as busy as everyone else.
I’m constantly dealing with people who are “just waking up” and have literally years of learning to try and cram into just a few months or a few years at most. The problem here is it is simply not possible to “hand educate” each and every person. Plus it isn’t even advisable.
Your situation is unique to you, and your willingness to adapt yourself and your lifestyle and everything else about you including your belief system, your attitudes, your willingness to change, your finances and your ability to become self-reliant is a very personal choice.
It is impossible for me or for anyone, or any book to teach you everything that you need to know. This is a process of self-discovery in reality, one which requires you to jump start your own self into high gear and get going on all the things you need to do. The blog articles are there to help you do that, but they are not there to tell you every little step that you will need to do, I won’t ever even bother trying to do that.
So — do those things in those blog articles (for starters). That should keep you busy for the rest of your life in reality. Once you have accomplished most of these, you’ll already be well on your way towards personal survival (and you won’t need much more coaching).
Here are a few other things to do, that I consider essential and crucial:
a) Don’t share you plans or your preparations with outsiders. Know who you’re talking to and keep your preps to yourself.
b) Be particularily careful with firearms and ammunition purchases. Databases are being utilized all over the country to track who is doing what (despite laws prohibiting this). Pay cash and buy privately.
c) Learn the art of deflection. Curious people ask questions and oftentimes it means no harm, but it could and can come back to harm you one day because you revealed something that you shouldn’t have. So deflect the inquiry by doing what politicians do all the time — don’t directly answer the question. You can give the impression you’ve given the required answer while really saying nothing at all.
d) Keep stockpiling essentials, and learn to rotate effectively. This includes everything from food, batteries, medicine, water, seeds, all of it. You should be doing this already.
e) Don’t bring any attention to yourself. Blend in. Standing out nowadays just singles you out later (or even now, depending on the situation). We like to believe we can change things if we just speak up. But careful observation will reveal that we are really not changing anything, nobody is. The overall direction for the world is downhill.
f) Avoid joining a group. I’ve written quite a bit on this on the blog. Groups are inflexible, inefficient, infitrated and too easily controlled (neutered). They’ll also get you into a lot of trouble if you are not careful, even if you’ve done nothing or are not involved.
g) This should go without saying, but needs a constant reminder: start thinking for yourself. The majority is often wrong. They are also easily persuaded to believe falsehoods and lies. Don’t be like that. Stand your ground and think things through. If it’s too good to be true, it probably is. If it is based on no evidence, scanty evidence or straw arguments, or sheer “belief” then it’s probably not true either. Appeals to emotion instead of logic, known facts, verifiable evidence or science are appeals to simple belief (also known as faith). More people get in more trouble based upon emotion then anything else. Don’t let this be you.
h) Keep it safe. Your health is of paramount importance. If your sick, get better. If your fat, lose weight. If you’re unhealthy, start living a healthy lifestyle. Your health is actually ALL you’ve got going for you. If you lose that, you’ve lost everything. Don’t engage in risky behavior. Evaluate any potential risk and clearly decide if this is something you can really afford to do. Getting injured now or suffering any sort of serious setback is the last thing you will want to endure.
i) This is not a race, it’s an endurance contest in reality. Only the strong will survive. Craft, cunning, discipline and forethought are critical skills to develop. Sound harsh? That’s nothing compared to what the future holds for all of us. We’re going to have to toughen up, wise up and get our priorities straight big time. We cannot go on living like we have and expect nothing to happen. Our “riotous living” is catching up with us now.
Things To Plan Ahead
All of the points under “Things To Know” of course, need to be taken into account. In addtion to this, plan ahead for your personal collapse. This is when it all falls apart for you.
Many expect collapse to be a global or national event. Not so. It will (and is) happening right now on a family by family level, all of which then trickles up, leading to regional or national collapse. Some will see collapse sooner then others. Rice farmers in Viet Nam for example will face impovershment, starvation and relocation sooner then wheat farmers in Kansas (maybe). But collapse happens on a individual basis in reality and that is the part that really matters to you.
I’m not looking for a global event to “wake people up” or make them all finally realize that they’re in serious trouble. So plan ahead for your situation. What do you need to do to shore up your foundation? Your finances? Your health? Your ability to weather out foreclosure or job loss? What have you done to become self sufficient? What still needs to be done?
We all need the same basic things, water, food, clothing, shelter. Having your own home or a place to call home is critical. Everybody needs to be someplace. Winding up homeless with no secure roof over your head is not a future anybody would want. But it is in fact happening to millions of Americans right now who are overextended on their credit or have lost their jobs. Being debt free and owning your own home (or just some land) would prevent that from happening. As simple as this sounds, it’s true.
For many Americans, it’s probably too late for them to do this without some serious help, or a series of fortunate circumstances. But this is a worthy goal, as having your own place is paramount.
You should also plan ahead for tough times economically, if you haven’t already been affected. More adjustable rate mortgage resets are just ahead, right now we are in the bottom of a temporary trough. I suspect millions more Americans will lose their homes and their jobs in the coming year. Being debt free right now is going to be very important.
Land also allows you to do something to improve your personal situation. You can garden, raise chickens or cut your own firewood for heating and cooking. Living in a tent on your own land is still better then living in the city paying rent. It’s important that you have some dirt between your toes, because in time, that’s going to be very important for life, if it’s not important already.
Water will be just as important as (no) debt and land, and so will food. You can get through nearly anything if you have these essentials (and your health).
Several months ago I was reading an article in Newsweek on climate and energy when a line jumped off the page: “Business as usual has started to read like the end of the world.”
Although this conclusion may surprise many, it will not surprise the scientists who track global environmental trends such as deforestation, soil erosion, falling water tables, and rising
temperature. For some time they have been saying that if these trends continue we will be in trouble. What was not clear was what form the trouble would take. It looks now as though food is the weak link, just as it was for many earlier civilizations. We are entering a new food era,
one marked by higher food prices, rapidly growing numbers of hungry people, and an intensifying competition for land and water resources that has now crossed national boundaries as
food-importing countries try to buy or lease vast tracts of land in other countries. Unlike earlier grain price hikes that were caused by singular events—a drought in the Soviet Union or a monsoon failure in India—and were typically remedied by the next harvest, this recent rise is trend-driven. Among the trends responsible are population growth, falling water tables, rising temperature, ice melting, and the use of grain to produce fuel for cars. In decades past, when grain prices climbed, the U.S. Department of Agriculture simply returned some cropland idled under farm programs to production, but now that land is all in use. Suddenly, food security has become a highly complex issue. Mobilizing To Save Civilization
Relocate to where natural sources of water can be found. If you live in the desert — move. If you live in the city, move. Having access to natural sources of water is going to become increasingly critical. Right now, it all flows as long as the lights stay on, and the acquifers or rivers don’t run dry. But that’s all changing.
Carry a gun. Always. America has some really stupid gun “laws” which don’t protect anybody They’d rather chalk an outline around your body then “permit” you to carry a weapon. That’s their idea of “protection”. The police in this country have fought this time and time again — and won, against you. They have no obligation at all, by the rule of the Supreme Court, to protect you. You must do this yourself.
Personally, I do not care if someone “violates the law” and carries a gun. Do as you wish, it’s your life. Getting a permission slip to do this is up to you, but the rule still stands, carry.
Situational awareness is a skill practiced and developed over years of time. While in Seattle, I was hit up by panhandlers several times, including one time when I chose to approach one who wasn’t even panhandling. But once, while eating breakfast alone in a restaraunt with no other customers, I was approached by someone. I had immediately tagged this one as trouble when I walked in. He was.
Know who is around you at all times. Be alert, be prepared and be wise about people. I don’t fear the future — I fear what people are going to do in the future — there is a huge difference, because I know that all the problems of the future are going to be people related. Most people are woefully unprepared, ignorant and simply put, very stupid about what is happening to their world. They don’t even care. They’re sheep and they’re being shorn every day by unscrupulous wolves. They will not last long when their situation collapses.
Simple living and simple tastes will take you a long ways into the future. Americans are addicted to their toys, but that’s changing as the financial collapse deepens. If you’ve got toys, get rid of them. Pare down to the essentials you need.
Don’t flash cash, don’t appear to be too afluent (in case you still are), don’t always buy tons of stuff at once, spread out your purchases and pay cash whenever possible. Buy used too if you can, you’ll save a ton of money.
Choosing where to live is not always an option, but if it is an option for you, use some common sense. Your neighbors will be the ones you go through the crash with. Do you know who they are? Can you trust them? Or are you just an ATM machine in their eyes?
One of the reasons why living in a foreign country during the collapse could be so risky is because Americans can be seen as cash machines. They have no allegience to helping you out if you’ve dried up, and when things get really tough, they may get really tough on you.
But that can and will happen here too, so bear this in mind. Locating yourself (if you can) to where there is security with your neighbors instead of against your neighbors is going to be very important.
My neighbors remain basically clueless, but they’re far from helpless, which makes them an asset (even if they don’t know it yet). Even better, the land (topography) is also defensible in many respects and can be easily controlled by just a few of us. I hope I never need to worry about this — but someday, somebody here will, of that I have no doubt at all.
See Where to Live and Collapse Survival on the blog for more on these topics.
Things To Ignore
There are several things I think you can safely ignore. While they are all championing their causes for your attention and participation (and your pocket book), they are not going anywhere and will not have any real effect upon you or your future. My advice is simple — don’t waste your time on them, it’s time you really don’t have to spare anyway.
Constitutionalist Movements. Efforts to restore “constitutional law” in this country are widespread and many. Most of these are well meaning, however the United States has not been under Constitutional law for over 200 years. The original Constitution was almost immediately ursurped after only seven years. Since that time, we have continually and quite consistently I should add, lost constitutional protections and freedoms.
The problem with the constitutional movements is they are all woefully out of date and lacking of factual history. The assumption is a ‘return to constitutional law’ would ‘restore the Republic’. I assure you, it won’t do any such thing. The United States Constitution is ambigious where it needs to be very precise, and this is the very reason it was almost immediately disregarded.
Over 200 years have now passed and the laws and regulations and restrictions since that time are absolutely gargantuan and would take a millenia to undue. The Federalists in our midst (the vast majority of people and all the ruling elite) would ensure that litigation would take generations as they fought to retain their power base. This is a no-win situation for all.
Restoring the Constitution (whatever that actually means, because this is a term that really has no meaning any more) would not undue these laws and regulations like many seem to think.
Kenneth Royce, a.k.a as “Boston Tea Party” has written at length about this issue in Hologram of Liberty. I have recommended this book for years. The Supreme Court widely interprets the (ambigious) Constitution, depending on the political winds blowing. This is exactly what will continue to happen in any “restoration movement”. Therefore, I do not bother to involve myself in such things as we would only get what we’ve already got. Even worse, the Constitutional movements seeks to erect their own demi-god puppet in office (oftentimes), which will wind up being just another controlled pawn by corporate business.
Any movement that fails to break the back of the Federal Reserve, global corporations, global elitists, lobbyists and corrupt halls of government — will fail. Nothing more needs to be said.
Militia Movements, Patriot Movements
These groups suffer from the same problems as those named above. Many Americans believe that they can return to the priviliged existence that they once had. This is no longer true — and it is very unlikely it will ever happen again. What they all seem to fail to realize is that it was the abundance of plentiful and cheap resources and cheaper energy that made it all possible.
Democracy is one of the first things to disappear when resources dwindle. To everyone that still believes that democracy can be restored or improved, or that the march to socialism can somehow be stopped, I remind you that this is very unlikely now. Our nation is undergoing a very predictable change as resources dwindle, populations increase and government ineptness and inability to effectively govern transform the social fabric.
We will NEVER be a Republic again, this is an absolute pipedream based upon wishful thinking. The Republic was dead by 1779 in reality and it’s been downhill ever since. Since that time, we managed to exterminate most of the Native Americans and all vestiges of true freedom this country once had.
Militia movements and the so-called Patriot Movements are based upon the same ideas as the Constitutional movements. Their so-called “line in the sand” position on when they will “fight” has been slowly pushed back countless times, again and again, and nothing (ever) happens. Don’t look to these groups to restore anything, they’re still to busy fighting amongst themselves and redrawing those lines and fantasizing about who’ll be “in charge”.
Climate Change Deniers
This is another group to ignore. The science is sound, proven and factual regarding climate change, a.k.a global warming. Deniers want to continue to obsfucate the truth and make outlandish claims that this is a “global hoax” perpetrated by most of the world’s scientists (including activitist, portions of some industry, government and your neighbor). Somehow, they miss the fact what a global conspiracy of this magnitude would require .
While this does engender paranoia and fear, it does nothing towards revealing the facts and evidence and the “in your face” events that are now happening all over the world, including within the United States. Old photgraphs are not subject to conspiracy, nor is historical data. Deniers use straw arguements and logical fallacies to connect their non-existent “evidence” in a desperate attempt to disprove the facts. These arguments have been shot down, time and time again, yet they persist among the denier crowd.
The reason for this are many. Most people are simply unwilling to accept that humans can have screwed up the planet so much, so rapidly. The facts however, prove quite the opposite and this makes many people very uncomfortable. Not only that, but civilizations before us did exactly the same things, and they too collapsed, again and again (read Jared Diamond’s “Collapse of Complex Society”, there are a number of articles on the blog about this book).
Digging only a bit deeper, this is because they realize that these events will have real impacts on their daily lives and their future and it scares the hell out of them. The knowledge that haunts them is that they themselves, and their own children, will never have it “this good again”. And no, they probably won’t, as climate change is no respector of persons.
There IS evidence that the global elite are using climate change to their own advantage — and theme being jumped on by the conspiracy theorists — but this type of leverage is nothing new and does NOT disprove climate change at all. World leaders have often used crisis situations (in every war for example, or every embargo or every disaster) to their advantage, manipulating people, markets, economies and resources. The swine flu pandemic / manipulation is one very current example of this by the powerful pharmacutical companies.
End timers come in all flavors and I am intimately familiar with the rapture crowd. Needless to say, there will be no rapture, no catching away, no return of Christ, no Armageddon (except the one we designed), no “end times prophecy” or fulfillment, no biblical seven years “tribulation” or nothing of that sort.
20 years in the ministry and deep research into the origins of the bible, Christianity and the entire history of the Church left me shaken, shocked and disillusioned (to put it lightly). As a result, I disproved all the claims made in the bible one by one. For anyone seeking the real truth, you’d have to do this research yourself. Do not ask me to do this for you, years of effort showed just how futile this is. Ingrained belief can only be changed by those who hold it.
The church today loves to manipulate people by fear and scare mongering, ‘dividing the sheep from the goats’ and browbeating the so-called ‘believers’ into believing and accepting what they are being told. Heretics are people who question everything — and learn the truth.
The end times in a biblical sense, will not be happening, and claims to the contrary can be safely ignored. There will be however, a great many efforts to bring about biblical fulfillment by man. The entire Bush Administration actually tried this, with 9/11 and the attack upon Iraq. They were deeply disappointed when they were not allowed to turn the Middle East into a sea of glass.
Zionists (and zionist supporters) are a dime a dozen these days, and are also actively trying to persuade millions into fulfilling bible ‘prophecy’. They are fully aware of what they are doing too, and how they are manipulating people into doing their bidding, but this has absolutely NOTHING to do with ‘biblical fulfillment’ and never has.
The problem with all of this is it’s pretty easy to disprove it as being factual or accurate. But we’re not dealing with logic or reason here. Blind faith is dangerous for the entire world, it’s one of the things that creates suicide bombers (martyrs) in some groups and fanatics in others (kool-aid drinkers).
I’ve no problem with faith, or even Christianity, but I have a real problem with lies, liars, charlatans, fear mongers and make-up artists. Making merchants of men is their specialty and I have absolutely no tolerance for fools or their followers.
I’m often asked if I support so-and-so. No, I do not support any of them and never, ever will again. Save your money, and your sanity and come away from their deceptions. The future is bad enough without their delusions making it even worse.
But watch out for them — for they ARE all among you (and most of you already know this). However, this warning is being clearly written here for a reason. I fully expect them to turn upon you (and me) and rend you to pieces in time. Their disappointment will be so great that they will vent their anger upon a great many of thus, as they number in the millions in this country alone. And that makes them a very dangerous force to be reckoned with.
Right now, they are being stirred up by their lying preachers and televangelists into believing absolute nonesense and supporting genocide. Don’t think for a moment that they won’t do the same things here in America when the time comes, they will.
Emotions runs very high when dealing with this crowd, so keep your distance. They are going to self-destruct, soon, but their collateral damage will take more then a few lives.
There is plenty more I could write, but I’m hoping you’ll actually read this and if this becomes too long, it won’t be read. Anyone or any group or any organization that does not seek balance in life, should be avoided at all costs. In reality, that would identify all the world’s mutli-national corporations, as they practice of method of imbalance against the planet, encouraging their subsidiaries to rape the planet into submission for human consumption.
Balance implies that we live conscientiously and wisely among fools. The only reason we’ve all made it this far is that there was so much abundance at one time on this planet. This permitted all of our excesses and wastefulness. It spawned democracy and other things like material wealth. The Earth has been a very tolerant place for humankind. But now we are finding out that we’ve knocked things out of balance and everything we’ve ever come to know is now in jeapordy.
There are consequences for these actions, and they are the very reason I write entries like this. We are going to have to deal with all of these imbalances. Given time, they would rectify themselves if we could somehow find it within ourselves to simply “leave it alone”, but humans will try very hard to prevent that. We’ve effectively learned absolutely nothing at all from the past. This is obviously going to become a very very serious problem.
Our personal lives need to be balanced. Methodical, conscientious and considerate of our place in this world, our lives and the impacts we are having on everything else around us. Are you improving anything, or are you helping to make it worse? Unfortunately, the latter is almost always the case, because we still demand more then we give back.
Clear thinking is what is needed by humans now, all over the world. Many are trying, but many more are not. Sustainable living and common sense are still desirable goals, and worthy ones to model your life after. Even if the rest of the world still goes to hell in a handbasket.