Mar 292017
 

2050 isn’t that far off. I might even live that long myself. But I’d be among the old, young and infirm that are certain to suffer from heat stress, potentially killing millions.

An analysis of 44 of the 101 most populous “megacities” showed that the number of cities experiencing heat stress doubled with 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 F) of warming, researchers reported.

That trend would potentially expose more than 350 million additional people to heat stress by 2050, if population continues to grow as expected, the study authors said.

Expect more deadly heat from climate change, study says

It’s been raining all month here (when it didn’t snow) with just a couple of days of decent sunshine. The increased atmospheric vapor falling as rain and snow is caused by a warming planet. The ground around here is extremely saturated. There was a massive mudslide that nearly killed a father and son, and the river is at flood stage already.

It’s not just heat stress that the world needs to be concerned about, but what all the extra water does when it comes down. And how this extra heat, flooding, and cycles of drought will affect global food production and economic activity.

Think I’m kidding? It’s being studied right now and it does not look good: Farming becoming riskier under climate change. The models studied suggest that the typical planting window for corn will no longer be workable; April and May will be far too wet to work the fields. That’s a huge loss of a global staple crop. And this is just one of the factors being considered elsewhere. Under study is drought, aquifer depletion, pests, disease vectors, temperature variations, pollination and soil depletion, every one in worsening conditions world-wide.

I’ve been accused of being too negative, but honestly, I don’t think I’m wrong about the future at all. So far, I’m on track with what the future will be.

Mar 292017
 

In a warming world, cows are going to produce less meat and milk and more methane. That is the results found in a study from the Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Scotland’s Rural College (SRUC) and the Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre in Frankfurt.

“… plants growing in warmer conditions are tougher and have lower nutritional value to grazing livestock, potentially inhibiting milk and meat yields and raising the amount of methane released by the animals. Higher amounts of methane are produced when plants are tougher to digest – an effect of a warmer environment. Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, around 25 times better at trapping heat than carbon dioxide. More than 95% of the methane produced by cows comes from their breath through eructation (belching) as they “chew the cud”.  Making Cows More Environmentally Friendly

There is a widespread misconception that a warming world will improve plant yields too. It’s not true. Both yields and nutrition decline.

Less meat however, is actually a good thing overall, but that’s assuming humans would want to eat less meat, which they don’t. Just the opposite is true, meat consumption continues to rise taking up more and more of the world’s grain production.

Methane production is generally expected to increase all around the world, with hotspots identified in North America, Central and Eastern Europe, and Asia, where the effects of climate change may be the most severe. Many of these regions are where livestock farming is growing most rapidly. For example, meat production has increased annually by around 3.4% across Asia, compared with a more modest 1% increase across Europe.

Global meat production has increased rapidly in recent years to meet demand, from 71 million tonnes in 1961 to 318 million tonnes in 2014, a 78% increase in 53 years (FAOSTAT, 2016). Grazing lands have expanded to support this production, particularly across Asia and South America, and now cover 35 million km2; 30% of the Earth’s ice-free surface.

Cows are producing 15% of the global methane contribution, which is a very large figure (76 – 92 Tg per year. 1 Tg = 1 million metric tonnes).

These are ridiculous figures, but then again, so is the incredible sprawl of human civilization (destruction) across the Earth. And still we want more.

Mar 292017
 

The Trump agenda is not about putting America first. It’s about putting the privileged (monied) first. The Washington Post has a decent perspective on this, but it doesn’t go quite far enough.

Really, though, Trump’s policy reflects a deeper truth. Climate change denial is not incidental to a nationalist, populist agenda. It’s central to it. And that’s not a coincidence.

Combating global warming requires international cooperation, multinational agreements and rules. Done right, no country is exceptional, and some might have to sacrifice for others. In other words, it strengthens the international order that Trump and his team are so assiduously trying to dismantle in the name of “America First.”

As Andrew Norton, director of the International Institute for Environment and Development, explains:

“Climate change is a highly inconvenient truth for nationalism, as it is unsolvable at the national level and requires collective action between states and between different national and local communities. Populist nationalism therefore tends to reject the science of climate change however strong the evidence.

Although I write about climate change most often, it is not the only issue of concern (by a long shot). It is however, THE issue that will affect all humans and all other species of life on this planet because it transcends borders, Presidents, races, religions, regions and even our imagination. It is the Extinction Level Event that spells the end of our species.

I have come to accept that Americans will never give a damn about their environment in a measure that will be meaningful to true conservation. I have also come to realize that conservatives have no concept of conservation at all. There is nothing conservative about them. American history is not about preservation, protection, liberty or respect, it’s really about domination, destruction, total dominion and extraction. These are the principles that built America  and destroyed the country as each successive generation of dominionists trampled upon everything they possibly could.

It is an untold story that only comes to your awareness upon deep reflection of history and current events. It is not going to change either, no matter how much “evidence” there is, or how many people, species or life suffers. The real story of modern humans is one of conquest and domination and the final chapter has not been written. The Trump Administration is hell-bent on ensuring that their mark upon the historical record imprinted upon the Earth will never be forgotten. Some people are convinced that this will be good for the country, I’m convinced of just the opposite.

But in the end, it is not going to matter what I think or what anyone else thinks. The reigns of power have passed to a madman and like the stupid puppets we really are, we will respond to the pull on the string. There is no courage in this country to refuse the President and his many asinine decrees just as there was no courage before with other Presidents and their many decrees. Every governmental employee is just “doing their job” which is really just another way of saying their job always comes first and to hell with principles. It is the same with military contractors and assembly line workers and every other employee who is building, buying or engaging in any aspects of destroying the lives of other humans. The job always comes first.

We are all playing lip-service to what we claim to believe and what we actually do. It’s all quickly forgotten when our monetary survival is threatened and then we simply do what we are told. Once they controlled how we survived, they had us – forever, and they know it. Everything else is now just vented steam. Our anger is meaningless, our disgust misdirected, our activism nearly useless. They’re quite adept at shifting the goal posts and keeping the dissenters distracted, divided and ineffective. The rest can’t be bothered to care enough anyway.

So this is what life has become. Puppeteers and pulling strings. The next go-around will be another agenda, another President, another war, another event. And the goal posts will change ever so slightly once again, but it will always be business as usual. Those of us that are few and concerned about a habitable future are not going to achieve the success that is needed because the status-quo will never, ever allow it. We lack the courage to kill them and take the reigns ourselves and even if we did it would not change anything. The human trajectory is a Juggernaut of immense enormity and weight, the essential course correction that many champion for will never happen.

I think I should start another business in the field of death and destruction, that would put me on semi-equal terms with the rest of America. Your suggestions on how I might do this would be appreciated.

Mar 252017
 

Over 90% of all life wiped out. Rising temperatures of 8 to 11°C triggering huge methane releases. This melted vast amounts of methane that had been trapped in the permafrost and sea floor, causing temperatures to soar even further to levels “lethal to most life on land and in the oceans”.

It happened before, and it can happen again. Some of the names you’ve heard before are mentioned in this article, Peter Wadhams, who remains concerned about a major methane release that could happen in a blink of an eye (geologically speaking).

But like most articles, there is supposedly reason for optimism. I disagree since I’m not beholden to any editors or paid advertisers. Even my wife hates what I write sometimes because it is so damned depressing. But not telling the whole story, or glossing over what we already know about methane, permafrost and hydrates is like claiming Donald Trump really IS the messiah. Which is of course, not true (I saw him wearing a devils costume just the other day). Continue reading »

Mar 252017
 

Everybody knows the legend of the elephants. When elephants die, they leave their group and go off to die alone, in the “elephants graveyard”. Their bones can be found years later, piled up with the skeletons of many elephants.

Where do corals go to die? They’re animals too, but lacking the ability to move like elephants, they die enmasse in place. And they’re dying all over the world. Continue reading »

Mar 252017
 

I spent a little time checking out the other news. We actually got some sunshine here (in between bouts of more rain) and I kept popping outside to enjoy it. I can actually see my dead garden now. And reach my greenhouse. I’ll be planting in there very soon. Yeah!

As always, if you really look at the news, there isn’t anything positive to report. There is however, always a lot of bad news, signs of a failing economy, angry citizens and more police-state tactics. More and more of the same, and always worse.

I’m still waiting for the “let’s make America great again” to unfold into reality. But it’s a good thing I didn’t try holding my breath for this empty promise because I’ve seen nothing to indicate that this will ever materialize.  I’m quite certain that at no time in the entire Trump presidency will I ever experience anything that I would call a fulfillment of a promise because that is who Trump really is. So yeah, I’m just kidding about all of this. The Trumpanzees are still enamored, but probably not for much longer as he shows his true colors.

Then what? Rage? Probably not enough to accomplish anything more then the rage we’ve all expressed at a failed government. Sigh… always the same.

There is an ongoing “bleed” unfolding, with more and more retailers closing their doors. Most were indebted to the limits and have found themselves in trouble with their suppliers and vendors. But what I think is also occurring is brick and mortar has smacked up hard (and final) against the digital revolution in shopping. Retailers just can’t compete with the higher overhead required for a store versus a giant warehouse somewhere and they’re finding this out in greater and greater numbers. Don’t expect these retailers to come back.

I also think that the Affordable Care Act in America has absolutely ruined most families. I was glad to see that crappy “reform” from the Trump Administration get shot down, but this doesn’t excuse the theft this “Act” has waged against Americans. It’s not affordable and hasn’t save anyone any money. Healthcare has gone SERIOUSLY downhill here. There is also a clear agenda to demonize anyone who may be in need of pain medications (like me). The agenda seems to be to fuck over all the little people every which way they can.

I’m up to 25 miles on the gym bike – but I pay for it in loads of pain for days on end. Still, I keep trying. Eating better and working out (keep moving) seems to be the best medicine of all. Even got my bike muddy today! But it’s far too dangerous still to try to ride this on the roads (ice and sanding debris). Spring has sprung and I can’t wait to get me some!

Check out this asinine policy being forced upon farmers: John Deere Tractors Can’t Be Repaired By Their Owners

“If a farmer bought the tractor, he should be able to do whatever he wants with it,” Kevin Kenney, a farmer and right-to-repair advocate in Nebraska, told me. “You want to replace a transmission and you take it to an independent mechanic—he can put in the new transmission but the tractor can’t drive out of the shop. Deere charges $230, plus $130 an hour for a technician to drive out and plug a connector into their USB port to authorize the part.”

I’d be among the very first to tell John Deere to go fuck themselves. I repair almost everything I own myself and have all of my life. I can tear out an engine or a transmission or rebuild a drive line. If I buy it – I own it, but John Deere has a different idea. Most likely to ensure they get the repairs into their shops and no where else. This is absolutely crazy. Signs of desperation imo. Hold your customer hostage… now there’s a thought…

This is interesting: A Single Bitcoin Transaction Takes Thousands of Times More Energy Than a Credit Card Swipe. When you understand how bitcoins are “created” (algorithms are processed by armies of computers), you’ll appreciate why each bitcoin is a massive waste of energy. I’ve never supported the concept of bitcoins myself, finding bitcoins non-valuable, but now there is another reason to dislike bitcoins.

Music I’m listening to – “We are all just prisoners here of our own device” – Hotel California

Yeah, I get it. If you get bored, or fed up, or just need a change of pace, turn on some music. Sometimes, when it’s really bad, I even reload.

Mar 252017
 

This story is kind of interesting. If you have ever wondered about “surviving in the wild” and how it might work out, you might want to read this and check out the links.

My own research into “bugging out” and in conversation with professional survival instructors, reveals that abandoning civilization in favor of “survival” is a damned bad idea. Most people would die, quickly. Few would last longer then a couple of weeks. It is very unlikely that anyone alone would last a year or even six months totally cut-off from civilization.

I do know of one person who tried – and he disappeared, never to be found. Long ago, I had even posted a “Survival Acres Challenge” which nobody ever attempted.

But this television show, is different. 23 people were asked to go into the woods on a private estate and “build a new society”. They were given a lot of resources to do so, including farm animals, equipment, tools, weapons and even skilled people were included in the group. They actually had everything that they needed – but what they didn’t have was the right attitudes. Coming from a modern, pampered civilization, they were poorly prepared for living off the land.

Problems began immediately. Out of the 23 that started, 13 quit within four months due to boredom, hunger, deprivation, infighting, sexual tensions and backstabbing / bickering incompatibility issues.

The rest managed to survive the year (with help) only to then learn that their television show only aired 4 episodes.

Alone in the Wild for a Year, TV Contestants Learn Their Show Was Canceled

Eden volunteers refuse to let quitters back in, after eight exit Channel 4 reality show

Hounded out by the beasts of Eden: Contestant tells of bullying, sexual tension and bitter rivalries in Channel 4’s TV experiment to create Nirvana

It looks to me like “fame” also factors into the reasons some participated – and quit, to return to their normal lives. It’s also evident that this was not “in the wild” at all – just a tract of ground that didn’t have any other humans on it. There were people around which some participants somehow managed to engage in trade with (junk food and alcohol). The lack of seriousness in the participants is appalling.

What I think is interesting is how the survival meme in the past dozen years has been so heavily promoted by the media with different reality shows. I’ve lost track of how many different versions there have been, but it’s been dozens and dozens.

Most are entirely fake. Scripted events and “crisis” acting, staged conditions and dialogue. The Scottish show doesn’t sound much different (although I’ve never seen it myself). Beyond the efforts to promote anything to make a buck – is there something more to the survival reality show meme? Like trying to find out if humans are going to be able to survive the future?

Could be, but they’re going about it all wrong if that was the secret goal. Modern humans lack almost everything for adaption to survival existence and as every show has shown, immediately return to the comforts of “better living”. Food, alcohol, sex, cell phones, television and the near-impossible-to-break desire to return to the modern world.

The psychological mindsets of the participants dooms the experiments. Every participant knows “this is just an endurance contest” and they’ll get to return to the real world. So they last as long as they deem necessary – returning to fame, fortune and comfort. Monetary rewards await them all – no matter what the show’s original agenda was, even the “unpaid” and “unrewarded” will get their monetary rewards afterwards – even if they do not last long. Television and radio appearances, book deals, speaking engagements, endorsements, it’s all waiting for them – so this awareness will have a HUGE impact on their willingness to participate, and their “showing” (efforts, actions, activities, willingess and so forth) during the show.

In other words, just from a psychological standpoint – none of these shows are real. Not even close. There’s just too much incentive above and beyond “survival” at play here.

IF there was no civilization to go back to; IF cooperation, participation were required (or you die); IF there was never going to be any reward, fame, fortune, notoriety – then the results would be different (all else being equal, including the support they receive). But if there was no support, no chickens, pigs, goats, tools, weapons, skilled people – then the results would be very, very different. Nobody would have survived from the modern world. They’d have all died from hunger, exposure, injury, sickness or stupid mistakes.

I’ve long said that survival is really about finding your way back to civilization where you can survive. Nobody can do this alone and expect to live long. Everybody is mooching off the system is some way – whether it be recycled plastic water bottles for carrying water, steel to make knives and cut nets or gut fish, or the clothes your wearing – we’re all very depending upon the products and production of civilization to keep us going, even in “survival conditions”.

The closes I’ve seen to reality with any of these shows is the naked survivalists. But even they are play-acting, following a helpful script and even helpful show events like making sure a tame goat passes by where the actors can kill it for food. None of these shows are as real or honest as they should be.

I’d have loved to try this, even at my age and condition. I rather like the woods and prefer the rural mountains to a city any day (that’s why I live here). But I well recognize that “survival” here or anywhere else without the support of civilization and all the stuff it produces would be impossible. I would die. So would you.  It’s something to think about as our collapse deepens.

Mar 252017
 

The Siberian Times reports that 7,000 underground pingoes are set to explode in the Arctic region, releasing more methane and carbon dioxide directly into the atmosphere.

Scribbler has a post about this, but I don’t post anything of his anymore as readers know. I’m absolutely fed up with his dishonesty about renewables and his past ridicule of “climate alarmists” that he engaged in, especially on the methane threat which he chose to ignore while several of us “doomers” didn’t. He is now having to back track from this position. If you want to read it, you can go find it yourself, it doesn’t add anything that anyone here doesn’t already know.

In any case, the melting permafrost is getting some more attention worldwide, which is of no surprise.

 

Mar 242017
 

I’ve had to move the site back to here (http://survivalacres.com/blog). Sorry for the “dancing around” with the site, but I really don’t have any choice. You do whatcha gotta’ do when your back is up against the wall.

If there is something that does not work for you, please let me know, as it is impossible for me to check everything. Login issues fixed.

There will be some additional changes here as I figure this all out, but supposedly the user registrations / comments all ported over.